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<br />Weather Damage Modification Program 30 <br /> <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />downwind distance will be increased. Experience from mountainous plume tracing has shown <br />plumes to typically be about 15 degrees in horizontal width, including the meandering <br />component, and that most plumes are within a factor of two of that angle (Super 1974; Holroyd <br />et al. 1988). Plume spreads within convective bands may be greater due to the interaction of <br />convective motions upon the plumes. Aircraft passes will be no lower than 1,000 feet above the <br />highest nearby terrain, but as the plume moves out over the valleys to the east and north, flight at <br />crest elevation will be possible in many cases. <br /> <br />The aircraft will initially be flown crosswind to sample through the plume from edge-to-edge. <br />This will determine the plume width. Because the SF6 release rate will be metered and constant <br />throughout tracing effort, the detected SF 6 concentration will provide an indication of the <br />dispersion rate, which can be applied to the ice nuclei plume as well. As the seeding plume is <br />ingested by the convective elements embedded within the convective bands passing through the <br />area and transported vertically, the aircraft will climb above the highest terrain and begin flying <br />in-cloud along the axis of the convective band. When SF6 is detected at one altitude, the <br />subsequent pass will be made -500 feet higher. The aircraft cloud physics instrumentation suite <br />will be used to measure the natural and seeded cloud characteristics. The presence of SF 6 <br />concomitant with ice concentrations as measured by the Particle Measuring Systems OAP-2D-C <br />probe will confirm the location of the seeding plume, as well as document the initial <br />microphysical effect of seeding. After nucleation, the AgI plume will be converted to ice <br />particles having appreciable terminal velocities, and will thus settle (separate) from the SF6 <br />plume, which will remain gaseous. Nevertheless, the tracking of the plume from source to <br />nucleation should unambiguously confirm the position of the plume up to and immediately after <br />nucleation in super-cooled cloud. <br /> <br />In the event that sampling at and above the crest line altitude fails to detect SF6, passes will be <br />made at lower altitudes further upwind (near the windward barrier slope) if conditions allow. <br />This will be done to determine if the SF 6 and AgI are "pooling" at lower levels, or are being <br />transported around the barrier rather than over it. (This is thought unlikely because of the <br />relatively high locations of the project seeding sites, but this too is important.) Because of the <br />distance from source to project target, it is anticipated that SF6 (and AgI) concentrations will be <br />near the threshold of detection as the plumes approach the most distant downwind target <br />boundaries. <br /> <br />The observed positions of the SF6 plume (and therefore the AgI plume) will be compared to the <br />positions predicted by the transport and dispersion model. Mapping the plume dispersion and <br />confirming the nucleation of supercooled cloud will reaffirm the critical first step in the <br />conceptualized physical chain-of-events in the Santa Barbara precipitation augmentation <br />program. Failure to track the plumes from source to cloud will identify a serious shortcoming in <br />the program methodology, and will provide information helpful in the remediation of the <br />problem. <br /> <br />Tracking will be aided by the targeting and dispersion model, which may itself benefit from the <br />lessons learned. The aircraft data system will provide real-time wind measurements during each <br />pass, which will guide the aircraft scientist in continuously revising estim~tes of where the plume <br />