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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:33:58 PM
Creation date
3/5/2008 10:53:13 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
Summary of the NOAA/Utah Atmospheric Modification Program: 1990-1996
Date
9/1/1998
State
UT
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Real-time detection of ground-released AgI showed that seeding material was routinely transported up a <br />particular canyon when releases were made near the bottom of the canyon. Concentrations'of AgI at the <br />up-canyon observations site (adjusted for nucleation activity at -10 OC) were, however, estimated to <br />average only about one ice nucleus per liter. This relatively low concentration of active AgI nuclei offers <br />a partial explanation of the observed low percentage of silver- in-snow above background at sampling sites <br />above the canyons where AgI was released. <br /> <br />eo <br /> <br />SUMMARY <br /> <br />Silver-in snow analyses and detection of ice nuclei during the UtahINOAA winter field program in 1989- <br />90 have produced some insights into the transport and dispersion of AgI aerosols over two of Utah's <br />operational cloud seeding target areas. Because of the lack of accompanying detailed meteorological and <br />cloud microphysical data, a complete explanation of the results found during this limited field effort will <br />require further study. <br /> <br />The results of the silver-in snow investigations at sites in the Wasatch Range and Wasatch Plateau <br />revealed that background (nonseeded) Ag concentrations were similar to those found by Long (1984) in <br />the Tushar Mountains of southern Utah. In addition, as Long found in Ag samples from 1983, there was <br />little evidence of enhanced Ag concentration in snow samples from seeded periods. <br /> <br />Possible explanations for the low frequency of above-background Ag are: <br /> <br />I) consistently poor targeting of the AgI occurred from the predominantly valley-based <br />generators to the high altitude target areas located east (presumably downwind) ofthe generators, <br /> <br />2) the 6 g h-I AgI output of the Utah operational generators was not sufficient to produce <br />enhanced Ag concentrations, even if targeting was good. <br /> <br />,A comparison with theresults of the Bridger Range experiments, where seeded snow samples consistently <br />contained enhanced Ag and where good targeting existed, supports the explanation that generator output <br />could account for the different Ag concentration in seeded samples. The mean monthly Bridger AgI <br />generator outp!!t exceeded Utah generator output by a factor of 20, while the Ag concentration in seeded <br />snow samples in the Montana experiment exceeded Utah samples by factors of 10-30. However, given the <br />relatively short periods represented by Utah samples (1-14 days compared to Bridger season,al data), one <br />would expect a larger percentage of "hits" than was observed in the Utah target areas. The low.frequency <br />of the above-background Ag concentrations brings into questions whether routine targeting was <br />accomplished. Part II of this paper will address this question in more detail as will the more <br />comprehensive transport and dispersion studies performed in the 1991 UtahINOAA program, yet to be <br />fully analyzed. <br /> <br />The question of seeding generator output was also addressed in the context of 11.4 percent precipitation <br />increases for the Utah operational program suggested by statistical arialysis of precipitation data (Griffith <br />et al. 1991). A number of optimistic assumptions were employed such as a generator effectiveness of <br />5 x 1013 ice nuclei per gram of AgI for the SA W zone, perfect targeting by the valley-based generators, <br />nucleation by all potentially active AgI particles, and growth and fallout of all nucleated ice crystals onto <br />the targets. Using these assumptions, an estimate was made of the average ice particle mass required to <br />produce the reported precipitations increases. The average computed masses of 0.07 to 0.23 mg were <br />much larger than typical average masses of natural snow particles documented in several locations in the <br />western United States. It is possible (but believed unlikely) that generated ice nucleus effectiveness in <br /> <br />. . <br /> <br />42 <br /> <br />- -:.......::.,~;;,,;~~_;:~~;.~c <br /> <br />j <br />
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