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<br />115 determined (drainage area 3,546 square miles) by an area proportion. The <br />discharges obtained in the previous calculations fell within the 90 percent <br />confidence limits of the USACE Canon City gage-station-analyses discharges; <br />therefore, the hydrologic analyses performed by the USACE are considered <br />valid. A summary of drainage area-peak discharge relationships for each stream <br />studied in detail is shown in Table 2. <br /> <br />There are no stream flow records for the Northeast Canon Drainage Basin. Peak <br />discharges for the I-percent -annual-chance frequency flood were therefore <br />developed using the synthetic rainfall-runoff evaluation procedures (Reference <br />12). Synthetic runoff hydrographs were developed from the U.S. SCS Triangular <br />Hydrograph Equation using incremental hydro graphs. All runoff computations <br />were based on existing land use and cover conditions in the watershed as of <br />March 1980. Precipitation data were taken from National Oceanic and <br />Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atlas #2, Precipitation-Frequency Atlas of <br />the Western United States, Volume III, Colorado (Reference 13). <br /> <br />Peak discharges of various recurrence intervals for Coal Creek and Oak Creek <br />were determined by Camp Dresser and McKee, Inc. To predict the peak 50-, 4-, <br />and 1- percent -annual-chance flow rates for these creeks a synthetic unit <br />hydro graph was developed, using the basin characteristics presented in the <br />Arkansas River Basin, Florence, Colorado, Design Memorandum No.1, prepared <br />by the USACE (Reference 14). A SCS Type II-A storm distribution was applied <br />to each basin developed from rainfall data from NOAA, to calculate the peak <br />discharges. The peak discharges for 50-,4-, and 1-percent-annual-chance events <br />were then plotted on logarithmic - probability graph paper and peak discharges <br />for the 10-, 2-, and 0.2-percent-annual-chance frequencies were estimated. <br /> <br />Peak discharges for the Coal Creek East and West Overflows on Coal Creek <br />below the Denver and Rio Grande Western Railroad were determined based upon <br />the hydraulic analysis of Coal Creek (as described in Section 3.2, below). <br /> <br />The USACE undertook a hydrological analysis of Coal Creek Basin in 2001 <br />specifically to determine peak discharges and frequency relationships for Coal <br />Creek and Oak Creek and associated tributaries at various locations within the <br />watershed (Reference 15). <br /> <br />3.2 Hydraulic Analyses <br /> <br />Analyses of the hydraulic characteristics of flooding from the sources studied <br />were carried out to provide estimates of the elevations of floods of the selected <br />recurrence intervals. Users should be aware that flood elevations shown on the <br />FIRM represent rounded whole foot elevations and may not exactly reflect the <br />elevations shown on the Flood Profiles or in the Floodway Data tables in the FIS <br />report. Flood elevations shown on the FIRM are primarily intended for flood <br />insurance rating purposes. For construction and/or floodplain management <br />purposes, users are cautioned to use the flood elevation data presented in this FIS <br />in conjunction with the data shown on the FIRM. <br /> <br />8 <br />