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<br /> <br />Salinity also may have a profound influence on a key- <br />stone species of the northern gulf. Shrimp populations <br />are believed to increase with flood flows from the delta. <br />Researchers have demonstrated a positive correlation <br />between freshwater discharges to the Gulf of Mexico <br />and shrimp catches (Galindo-Beet et al.). Shrimp in the <br />northern Gulf take a year to reach harvest size, and since <br />1981 the size of the northern Gulf shrimp catch has cor- <br />responded with freshwater flows of the previous year <br />(Glenn et aI., 1998). Research indicates that 25 percent <br />of the variability of the shrimp catch is attributable to <br />river flows (Galindo-Beet et al.). Before dam building, <br />Colorado River floods may have affected salinity across <br />a wide area of the upper Gulf. Recent flood events have <br />affected salinity at the mout,h of the river near Montague <br />and Pelicano islands.39 In January 1998, freshwater flows <br />of 7135 cfs (202 m3/ s) were found to have diluted ocean <br />water at the northern end of Montague Island to a <br />salinity of 20 parts per thousand (ppt). Further research <br />is needed to quantify the relationship between <br />freshwater flows and Gulf near-shore marine species. <br /> <br />RESTORATION OBJ ECTIVES <br /> <br />The flows of 1997 helped restore vegetation to the delta, <br />and the research team considered this a major change <br />in the habitat value and health of the delta. It demon- <br />strates the resilience of delta ecosystems and offers hope <br />for the future. It also is worth noting that even in its <br />diminished state, the delta has richer and more diverse <br />ecosystems than the Colorado River between the Grand <br />Canyon and Morelos Dam, a stretch of river five times <br />greater in length and with a perennial flow of water <br />(Balogh, 1996).40 <br /> <br />The 1997 fieldwork suggests that modest annual flows <br />(below Morelos Dam) of 32,000 acre-feet (4 x 107 m3) <br />could maintain and even improve the cottonwood-wil- <br />low habitat in Zones 1 to 3. Further, pulse flows on a <br />par with January to April 1997 releases, which are likely <br />to occur on average every four years under the present <br />Colorado River management regime, could sustain an <br />area that includes Zones 4 and 5 as well. The 1997 win- <br />ter flood totaled 260,000 acre-feet (3.2 x 108 m3), which <br />was discharged at 3500-7000 cfs (100-200 m3/ s), a rate <br />sufficient to inundate the delta's floodplain. This flow <br />regime (that is, 260,000 af every four years) represents <br />less than 1 percent of the Colorado's average annual <br /> <br />flow. Due to the resilience of the delta's native riparian <br />vegetation, the most important ecosystem functions can <br />likely be supported by only a fraction of the historic <br />flows, much of which could be derived from resource- <br />ful use of agricultural wastewater. However, due to <br />sustained flood flows during 1998 and 1999, it is not yet <br />possible to quantify with certainty the required volume <br />and frequency of these floods. In addition, freshwater <br />flow needs of delta fisheries and Gulf near-shore ma- <br />rine species have not been quantified, and should be <br />considered as the delta's water needs are determined. <br /> <br />The importance of the timing of flood releases is not yet <br />known. Although the Colorado's predevelopment flow <br />regime would flood the delta after spring snowmelt <br />(April-July) and again during monsoons (August), the <br />1997 flood occurred in late winter Ganuary-April). These <br />floods were successful in stimulating vegetation, and <br />one factor may be the mild climate in the delta. <br /> <br />Water quality problems in some riparian wetlands will <br />require mitigation, if only to protect humans who come <br />into contact with the water or eat the local wildlife and <br />fish. Continued monitoring of water quality in Zones 4, <br />5, and 7 should be designed to identify the need for pe- <br />riodic flushing flows or the procurement of alternative <br />water sources. Specific recommendations for improv- <br />ing the management of water supplies and water quality <br />are provided in the final chapter. <br /> <br />Understanding its ecological needs is an important com- <br />ponent of preserving the delta, but good science alone <br />will not suffice. The greatest threat to the health of the <br />delta may be the absence of any formal provisions <br />between Mexico and the United States recognizing the <br />ecological values in the delta and providing water to <br />support them as part of the overall apportionment of <br />Colorado water. Resource and environmental manage- <br />ment agencies in the United States tend toward the <br />position that their responsibility for ecosystem protec- <br />tion ends at the international border. The challenge is <br />not only one of water management, but also one of <br />mustering the political will and cooperation to manage <br />the delta as a transnational resource. The following <br />chapter discusses the numerous institutions that must <br />be considered during the process of policy reform, as <br />well as several related issues that may provide strategic <br />opportunities to improve conditions in the delta. <br /> <br /> <br />39 During flood events, the salinity of the Colorado River, upstream of the confluence with the Rio Hardy, was low (average of 0.61 ppt) compared to salinity <br />in the Colorado River at Imperial Dam in the U.S. (average 0.865 ppt) and at Morelos Dam (average 1.01 ppt). <br />40 The stretch above Morelos Dam contains 82,500 acres (33,400 ha) of vegetation, compared to 150,000 acres (60,000 ha) in the delta. <br /> <br />32 <br /> <br />