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<br />001755 <br /> <br />32 <br /> <br />Work Group as approved by the Secretary of the Interior. GCMRC recommends continuing <br />implementation of experimental treatments under the current experimental flows plan for years 3 <br />and 4. <br /> <br />Humpback Chub <br />The GCMRC reported a continuing decline in the Grand Canyon population of humpback <br />chub (Gila cypha) in 2002. Cause for the decline is unknown, but stock synthesis models <br />indicate a lower recruitment for most of the previous 10 years. <br />In response to concerns about the status of humpback chub, on January 29, 2003, the <br />Glen Canyon Dam Adaptive Management Work Group (AMWG) created the Humpback Chub <br />Ad Hoc Committee and directed that the committee"... will consider actions to implement a <br />comprehensive research and management program for the HBC (humpback chub) .. . (and make) <br />a recommendation to the AMWG ...." The motion that was approved further indicated that the <br />Ad Hoc Committee would consist of AMWG, TWG (Technical Work Group), and GCMRC, and <br />science advisors which would again develop recommendations and report to AMWG at a special <br />session. Meetings of the Ad Hoc Committee were held February 12, March 12, April 1, 21, and <br />22, and May 6, 2003. Conference calls were held April 16 and 25, 2003 <br />An overview of the status and trend of the Grand Canyon population of humpback chub <br />was prepared by GCMRC for the AMWG on April 22, 2003. That report stated that recent <br />analyses of historical data on humpback chub in Grand Canyon have caused considerable <br />concern, because of uncertainties about the current size of the population and the strong <br />probability that the population has been declining steadily for at least a decade. The most recent <br />assessment model indicates that the spawning population is probably somewhere between 2,000 <br />and 4,000 age-4 and older fish. A different estimate, using the "Supertag" assessment model, <br />resulted in an estimate of 1,100-1,200 adults in 2001. Estimates of the LCR spawning <br />population for 1992-1995 were 2,000-4,700 adults (Douglas and Marsh, 1996). The assessment <br />model also determined a lower level of recruitment (i.e., fish reaching maturity at age-4) over the <br />last decade. The GCMRC report also stated that if recruitment continues to be stable at an <br />average of the 1995-98 rate, the population will likely stabilize at 1,000-3,000 adults. <br />Recovery goals exist for the humpback chub in the Colorado River Basin, and include all <br />six populations (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 2002). The Recovery Goals provide guidance <br />on recovery of the species, basin-wide, and identify sitt~-specific management actions, and <br />GCMRC FY2006 Annual Work Plan (Draft February 15,2005) <br />