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<br />Dolores/San Juan/ <br />San Miguel Basin <br />Growth <br /> <br />The Dolores/San Juan/San <br />Miguel Basin is comprised of <br />all or part of seven counties. <br />Changes in population from <br />2000 to 2030, including <br />percent annual growth rate <br />on a county level, are shown <br />in the table here. During that <br />time, the population in the <br />basin is expected to grow by <br />80,700 people, or 89 percent. <br /> <br />Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin Population Projections <br /> <br />(continued from page I) <br /> <br /> Increase in Percent Percent <br /> Population Change Annual <br /> 2000 2030 2000 to 2000 to Growth <br />County Population Population 2030 2030 Rate <br />Archuleta 10,000 27,000 17,000 170 3.4 <br />Dolores I,SOO 2,SOO 1,000 56 1.5 <br />La Plata 44,600 SO,600 36,000 SI 2.0 <br />Montezuma 23,900 40,100 16,200 6S 1.7 <br />Montrose 3,400 6,SOO 3,400 100 2.3 <br />San Juan 500 700 200 40 1.1 <br />San Miguel 6,700 13,600 6,900 103 2.4 <br />TOTAL 90,900 171 ,600 SO,700 S9 2.1 <br /> <br />Elevations in the Dolores Basin range <br />from about 14,200 feet near the Dolores <br />River headwaters, to 4, 100 feet at its <br />confluence with the Colorado River in <br />Utah. The terrain of the Dolores Basin <br />consists of high plateaus with deeply <br />incised canyons and dry arroyos. <br /> <br />Land use in the region is highly variable <br />and often reflects a conflict between <br />historic and modern uses, although <br />three-quarters of the basin consists of <br />forest and shrubland. Agriculture and <br />ranching predominate in the lower <br />elevations of Dolores, San Miguel, and <br />Montrose Counties as they have for <br />many generations. Tourism and <br />recreation have become more prevalent <br />in the region as the Animas, Piedra, <br />Dolores, and San Miguel Rivers offer both <br />fishing and rafting opportunities. <br />Montezuma and La Plata Counties are <br />dominated by agriculture, grassland, and <br />forested land use types. <br /> <br />The Dolores/San Juan/San <br />Miguel Basin is projected to <br />increase in municipal and <br />industrial (M&I) and self- <br />supplied industrial (SSI) <br />water demand by 18,800 <br />acre-feet (AF) by 2030. M&I <br />is defined as all of the water <br />use of a typical municipal <br />system, including residential, <br />commercial, industrial, <br />irrigation, and firefighting. <br />Large industrial water users <br />that have their own water <br />supplies or lease raw water <br />from others are described as SSI water users. M&I <br />and SSI water demand forecasts for the Dolores/San <br />Juan/San Miguel Basin are shown in the table <br />above. <br /> <br />Dolores/San Juan/ <br />San Miguel Basin <br />Water Demands <br /> <br />Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin Demand Projections <br /> <br /> Identified <br /> Projected Increase in Gross <br /> 2000 Gross 2030 Gross Conservation Gross Demand <br /> Demand Demand Savings Demand Shortfall <br />Subbasin Designation (AF) (AF) (AF) (AF) (AF) <br />Archuleta 2,400 6,400 300 3,700 400 <br />Dolores 400 600 - 200 - <br />La Plata 9,600 IS,OOO 1,100 6,900 1,000 <br />Montezuma 5,SOO 9,700 600 3,300 200 <br />Montrose SOO 5,500 <100 2,SOO 2,100 <br />San Juan 100 200 <100 - - <br />San Miguel 1,900 4,400 200 1,900 1,200 <br />TOTAL 21,000 44,SOO 2,400 18,800 4,900 <br /> <br />Surface Water Diversions in Acre-feet by Use <br /> <br /> <br />Dolores/San Juan/ <br />San Miguel River Basin <br /> <br />o Irrigation <br />. Storage <br />o Municipal <br />o Com mercial <br /> <br /> <br />Wet and Dry Periods <br /> <br />Every year, there is at least one lOa-year flood <br />somewhere in the state. Colorado's total estimated <br />flood losses to date are $4.9 billion. The Dolores/San <br />Juan/San Miguel Basin's most recent flood event was <br />Spring of 1993. The estimated total historic flood <br />damages for this basin are $14.5 million to date. <br /> <br /> <br />o Recreation <br /> <br />.,J: _:..!~i."~ '.i. <br />_ -_~'i!:;i1 1- <br />- - .. -.-- ~ <br /> <br />_~ 4.1' <br /> <br />~. <br /> <br />The 2000 and 2030 gross demands are also <br />presented in the table along with the projected <br />conservation savings. Conservation practices include <br />ordinances and standards that improve the overall <br />efficiency of water use, such as installation of low <br />water-use plumbing fixtures. As the table indicates, <br />the Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin will need an <br />additional 18,800 AF to meet the increased demands <br />of M&I water use. The majority of the demand is <br />expected to be met through existing supplies and <br />water rights and through the implementation of <br />various projects and processes. However, there are <br />still some anticipated shortfalls expected in certain <br />portions of the basin. This is also shown in the table. <br /> <br />[!] Aug mentation <br /> <br />-==- <br /> <br />Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources, Cumulative Yearly Statistics of <br />the Colorado Division of Water Resources, 1999-2004 <br /> <br />- -- ~-- - <br /> <br />Dry <br /> <br />Avg <br /> <br />Wet <br /> <br />San Juan River floods <br />near Pagosa Springs; <br />Animas River floods <br />near Durango <br /> <br />Oct 1972 <br />Lightner and Junction <br />Creeks flood <br /> <br />June 1927 <br />Animas River floods <br />near Durango <br /> <br />Sept 1970 Spring 1993 <br />Animas River floods May 1984 Mancos River floods <br />above Durango I Major flood near Mancos <br /> <br /> <br />:_--.---.:~ <br /> <br /> <br />(yO <D <br /><D 0 <br />(yO 0 <br /> <br /><D <br />W <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br /><D <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />o <br />on <br /> <br />~ <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />IV <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />IV <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />W <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />"'" <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />"'" <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />on <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />on <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />m <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />m <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />-..J <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />-..J <br />on <br /> <br /><D <br />(yO <br />o <br /> <br /><D <br />(yO <br />on <br /> <br />Source: Colorado Water Conservation Board and Division 7 staff <br /> <br /><D <D <br /><D <D <br />on -..J <br /> <br />Mancos River (photo courlesy of Colorado State Parks) <br />