<br />Dolores/San Juan/
<br />San Miguel Basin
<br />Growth
<br />
<br />The Dolores/San Juan/San
<br />Miguel Basin is comprised of
<br />all or part of seven counties.
<br />Changes in population from
<br />2000 to 2030, including
<br />percent annual growth rate
<br />on a county level, are shown
<br />in the table here. During that
<br />time, the population in the
<br />basin is expected to grow by
<br />80,700 people, or 89 percent.
<br />
<br />Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin Population Projections
<br />
<br />(continued from page I)
<br />
<br /> Increase in Percent Percent
<br /> Population Change Annual
<br /> 2000 2030 2000 to 2000 to Growth
<br />County Population Population 2030 2030 Rate
<br />Archuleta 10,000 27,000 17,000 170 3.4
<br />Dolores I,SOO 2,SOO 1,000 56 1.5
<br />La Plata 44,600 SO,600 36,000 SI 2.0
<br />Montezuma 23,900 40,100 16,200 6S 1.7
<br />Montrose 3,400 6,SOO 3,400 100 2.3
<br />San Juan 500 700 200 40 1.1
<br />San Miguel 6,700 13,600 6,900 103 2.4
<br />TOTAL 90,900 171 ,600 SO,700 S9 2.1
<br />
<br />Elevations in the Dolores Basin range
<br />from about 14,200 feet near the Dolores
<br />River headwaters, to 4, 100 feet at its
<br />confluence with the Colorado River in
<br />Utah. The terrain of the Dolores Basin
<br />consists of high plateaus with deeply
<br />incised canyons and dry arroyos.
<br />
<br />Land use in the region is highly variable
<br />and often reflects a conflict between
<br />historic and modern uses, although
<br />three-quarters of the basin consists of
<br />forest and shrubland. Agriculture and
<br />ranching predominate in the lower
<br />elevations of Dolores, San Miguel, and
<br />Montrose Counties as they have for
<br />many generations. Tourism and
<br />recreation have become more prevalent
<br />in the region as the Animas, Piedra,
<br />Dolores, and San Miguel Rivers offer both
<br />fishing and rafting opportunities.
<br />Montezuma and La Plata Counties are
<br />dominated by agriculture, grassland, and
<br />forested land use types.
<br />
<br />The Dolores/San Juan/San
<br />Miguel Basin is projected to
<br />increase in municipal and
<br />industrial (M&I) and self-
<br />supplied industrial (SSI)
<br />water demand by 18,800
<br />acre-feet (AF) by 2030. M&I
<br />is defined as all of the water
<br />use of a typical municipal
<br />system, including residential,
<br />commercial, industrial,
<br />irrigation, and firefighting.
<br />Large industrial water users
<br />that have their own water
<br />supplies or lease raw water
<br />from others are described as SSI water users. M&I
<br />and SSI water demand forecasts for the Dolores/San
<br />Juan/San Miguel Basin are shown in the table
<br />above.
<br />
<br />Dolores/San Juan/
<br />San Miguel Basin
<br />Water Demands
<br />
<br />Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin Demand Projections
<br />
<br /> Identified
<br /> Projected Increase in Gross
<br /> 2000 Gross 2030 Gross Conservation Gross Demand
<br /> Demand Demand Savings Demand Shortfall
<br />Subbasin Designation (AF) (AF) (AF) (AF) (AF)
<br />Archuleta 2,400 6,400 300 3,700 400
<br />Dolores 400 600 - 200 -
<br />La Plata 9,600 IS,OOO 1,100 6,900 1,000
<br />Montezuma 5,SOO 9,700 600 3,300 200
<br />Montrose SOO 5,500 <100 2,SOO 2,100
<br />San Juan 100 200 <100 - -
<br />San Miguel 1,900 4,400 200 1,900 1,200
<br />TOTAL 21,000 44,SOO 2,400 18,800 4,900
<br />
<br />Surface Water Diversions in Acre-feet by Use
<br />
<br />
<br />Dolores/San Juan/
<br />San Miguel River Basin
<br />
<br />o Irrigation
<br />. Storage
<br />o Municipal
<br />o Com mercial
<br />
<br />
<br />Wet and Dry Periods
<br />
<br />Every year, there is at least one lOa-year flood
<br />somewhere in the state. Colorado's total estimated
<br />flood losses to date are $4.9 billion. The Dolores/San
<br />Juan/San Miguel Basin's most recent flood event was
<br />Spring of 1993. The estimated total historic flood
<br />damages for this basin are $14.5 million to date.
<br />
<br />
<br />o Recreation
<br />
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<br />- - .. -.-- ~
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<br />_~ 4.1'
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<br />~.
<br />
<br />The 2000 and 2030 gross demands are also
<br />presented in the table along with the projected
<br />conservation savings. Conservation practices include
<br />ordinances and standards that improve the overall
<br />efficiency of water use, such as installation of low
<br />water-use plumbing fixtures. As the table indicates,
<br />the Dolores/San Juan/San Miguel Basin will need an
<br />additional 18,800 AF to meet the increased demands
<br />of M&I water use. The majority of the demand is
<br />expected to be met through existing supplies and
<br />water rights and through the implementation of
<br />various projects and processes. However, there are
<br />still some anticipated shortfalls expected in certain
<br />portions of the basin. This is also shown in the table.
<br />
<br />[!] Aug mentation
<br />
<br />-==-
<br />
<br />Source: Colorado Division of Water Resources, Cumulative Yearly Statistics of
<br />the Colorado Division of Water Resources, 1999-2004
<br />
<br />- -- ~-- -
<br />
<br />Dry
<br />
<br />Avg
<br />
<br />Wet
<br />
<br />San Juan River floods
<br />near Pagosa Springs;
<br />Animas River floods
<br />near Durango
<br />
<br />Oct 1972
<br />Lightner and Junction
<br />Creeks flood
<br />
<br />June 1927
<br />Animas River floods
<br />near Durango
<br />
<br />Sept 1970 Spring 1993
<br />Animas River floods May 1984 Mancos River floods
<br />above Durango I Major flood near Mancos
<br />
<br />
<br />:_--.---.:~
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<br />Source: Colorado Water Conservation Board and Division 7 staff
<br />
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<br />Mancos River (photo courlesy of Colorado State Parks)
<br />
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