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The European model’s September <br />forecast (left) was anticipating <br />moderate La Ni ñ a conditions <br />through the end of 2007, hinting at a <br />warm-up thereafter. <br />As it turned out, the tropical <br />Pacific cooled off more than <br />expected (-1.5C vs. -1C), but may <br />be poised for a slow recovery this <br />spring. However, a fast transition <br />into El Ni ñ o appears out of the <br />question. <br />