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<br />SWSI Phase 2 Technical Roundtable <br />Agricultural Transfer Alternatives to Permanent Dry-up <br /> <br />additional 4,000 acres in Montezuma County through the purchase of existing water <br />rights and storage facilities. The Gunnison Basin indicated the desire to develop <br />storage in the Upper Gunnison and in the Grand Mesa areas and restore lost storage <br />in the Grand Mesa and North Fork areas. These would serve to improve supplies to <br />existing irrigated lands and reduce shortages. <br /> <br />Table 5 provides an estimate of the range of potential changes in irrigated acres in <br />each basin. Future changes will be impacted by many factors, including the <br />development of additional storage to provide firm water supplies for agriculture, <br />policies of M&I water users regarding the acquisition of agricultural water rights, <br />M&I growth rates and the location of future growth, and whether there are cost- <br />effective alternative sources of water to meet future M&I water needs. There could be <br />significant additional reductions in irrigated acres in the South Platte and Arkansas <br />Basins beyond the estimates provided in Table 5 if water providers are unsuccessful <br />in implementing their identified plans such as developing additional storage to firm <br />existing water supplies. Figure 1 illustrates an estimate of potential changes by basin <br />and additional detail on the estimates of potential changes in irrigated acres for each <br />basin are included in Appendix F of the SWSI Report. <br /> <br />Table 5 Breakdown of Potential 2030 Changes in Irrigated Acreage <br /> <br />Basin <br /> <br />Potential <br />Decrease in <br />Irrigated Acres <br />resulting from <br />transfers <br /> <br />Potential <br />Decrease in <br />Irrigated Acres <br />resulting from <br />urban ization of <br />irrigated lands <br /> <br />Potential <br />Decrease in <br />Irrigated Acres <br />for other <br />reasons <br /> <br />Potential <br />Increase in <br />Irrigated Acres if <br />additional <br />supplies are <br />developed <br /> <br />Range of Potential Net <br />Change in Irrigated Acres <br /> <br />Arkansas 23,000-72,000 Decrease <br />Colorado 7,900-16,000 Decrease <br />Dolores/ San Juan/ 2,000-4,000 1,300 Decrease up to <br />San Miguel 2,400 Increase <br />Gunnison 300-1 ,500 2,200-8,500 2,500-10,000 Decrease <br />North Platte No significant No significant No significant No significant <br /> change expected change expected change expected change expected <br />Rio Grande 600-1 , 1 00 100-200 59,000-99,000 60,000-1 00,000 Decrease <br />South Platte 40,000-79,000 38,000-57,000 55,000-90,000 133,000-226,000 Decrease <br />Yampa/White/ 100-200 1,100-2,400 0-40,000 2,600 Decrease up to <br />Green 39,000 Increase <br />TOTAL 59,000-144,000 52,000-89,000 118,000-197,000 2,000-44,000 185,000-428,000 Decrease <br /> <br />As noted, reductions in agricultural irrigated acres may occur due to development, <br />acquisition for M&I or environmental needs, dry-up for instream flow purposes, or as <br />a result of lack of long-term supply availability such as lack of augmentation for well <br />pumping or over pumping of groundwater. As described in Section 8 of the SWSI <br />Report, not all of the reduction in agricultural irrigated acres will result in additional <br />supplies available for M&I or other uses. In addition, not all of the development of <br />irrigated agricultural lands for M&I use will result in a reduction of irrigation <br />demands. Some of the development of agricultural irrigated acres will be for large lot <br />residential development of 1 to 5 acres or ranchettes of 5 to 35 acres. For many of <br />these parcels, if the water rights are not sold and transferred at the time of <br /> <br />CDIVI <br /> <br />DRAFT <br /> <br />8 <br /> <br />S:\MEETINGS\TECHNICAL ROUNDTABLE\TRT MEETING - SPECIFIC\AL TERNATIVE AG TRANSFERS\SWSI TRT ALTERNATIVES TO PERMANENT DRY-UP BRIEFING 9-6-05_CJEDOC <br />