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FLOOD11044
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Last modified
5/17/2010 12:50:18 PM
Creation date
11/30/2007 10:46:09 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Arapahoe
Douglas
Stream Name
Cherry Creek Reservoir
Basin
South Platte
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Study for Cherry Creek Reservoir - Technical Review - Final Report
Date
8/1/2003
Prepared For
CWCB
Prepared By
Applied Weather Associates, LLC
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />1. Colorado extreme precipitation events are significantly smaller in their depth, <br />duration and aerial coverage than the storm characteristics ofHMR 52 that rely <br />on 29 storms sampled over the eastern two-thirds of the country (See Figure 1). <br /> <br />2. The major axis of the rainfall pattern extends along the direction of the winds in <br />the storm cloud layer (+/- 10 degrees). The surface wind direction is 40 to 90 <br />degrees to the right of the cloud layer winds (See Figure 2). In effect, this <br />relationship of meteorology to rainfall pattern must be maintained during the <br />transposition of storms into a basin to keep the transposition process "physically <br />possible". The final PMP design storm must also maintain this relationship. <br /> <br />Figure 1 shows that Colorado storms are smaller than the HMR 52 storms. The <br />Colorado storms range from 66% to 91 % of the HMR 52 storms for area sizes ranging <br />from 5,000 square miles down to 100 square miles. HMR 52 requires the use of its storm <br />sample together with their rainfall distribution curves without offering any other <br />alternative. This finding supports the fact that the use ofHMR 52 within/without curves <br />is inappropriate in the Cherry Creek basin due to major differences between the Colorado <br />storms and those used in HMR 52. <br /> <br />Comparison of Average Within / Without Storm Curves for <br />Different Study Regions <br />to-Square Mile Area Size <br /> <br />10000 <br /> <br />r--.. <br /> <br />00 <br />..!:i <br />~ <br />::: 1000 <br />(\l <br />;:I <br />C" <br />rJl <br />.5 <br /><l.l <br />N <br />;;; <br />(\l <br /><l.l <br />< <br />E <br />2 <br />rJl <br /> <br />-+- Colorado Front Range <br /> <br />_Colorado East of Foothills <br /> <br />---+- Colorado Eastem Plains <br /> <br />100 <br /> <br />---ilE-- Storms U sed in HMR 52 <br /> <br />10 <br />30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 <br /> <br />Percent of 24-hr Rainfall Amounts <br /> <br />Figure 1 Comparison of Average Within / Without Storm Curves for Different Study Regions <br /> <br />X111 <br />
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