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<br />To check Worrall's assumption of snowmelt peak flows, the months in which annual peaks <br />have been recorded were summarized, and strip charts from USGS gaging stations were <br />examined. The snowmelt assumption was found to be valid. <br /> <br />Because the Worrall study was completed in early 198 I, it did not use the most current <br />Water Resources Council guidelines (Reference 4). In addition, floodflows in the years 1981, <br />1982, and 1983 after the study was completed were significantly high. For instance, the <br />June 27, 1983, peak flow of 618 cfs on the Fraser River at Winter Park is the second highest <br />flow of record. <br /> <br />To determine whether these changed conditions would affect the results significantly, data <br />from one of the eight USGS gaging stations were analyzed using flow data through 1983 and <br />Bulletin 17B procedures. A decrease of approximately 5 percent from the IOO-year peak <br />flow of679 cfs was used by Worrall; using Bulletin 17Band the extended database results in <br />a flow value of 648 cfs. <br /> <br />The Worrall regressions were used for this study for the following reasons: although the <br />Worrall study was completed before the Water Resources Council published Bulletin 17B, <br />the differences are not considered significant enough to materially affect the results of the <br />study; adding the diversion flows to the USGS gage records is a conservative assumption; <br />the Worrall discharge values agree well with other studies in the Fraser River basin; and the <br />Worrall flow estimates have been widely used by developers. <br /> <br />Peak discharges for the approximate Fraser River study in the vicinity of Granby were <br />computed by a multiple regression analysis using data from six gages. This method <br />correlates actual annual peak flood data ofthe tributary basins to the USGS Granby station. <br />(Reference 5) <br /> <br />Peak discharges for the approximate Tenmile Creek study in the vicinity of Granby were <br />computed by a composite frequency-discharge curve. The composite curve was based on <br />both rainfall and snowmelt frequency-discharge cureves. The rainfall frequency curve wa <br />based on the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) method with a 6-hour storm event. (Reference <br />5) <br /> <br />Peak discharge-drainage area relationships for streams studied by detailed methods are <br />shown in Table 2. <br /> <br />3.2 Hydraulic Analyses <br /> <br />Analyses of the hydraulic characteristics of flooding from the sources studied were <br />performed to provide estimates of the elevations of floods of the selected recurrence <br />intervals. Users should be aware that flood elevations shown on the Flood Insurance Rate <br />Map (FIRM) represent rounded whole-foot elevations and may not exactly reflect the <br />elevations shown on the Flood Profiles or in the Floodway Data tables in the FIS report. <br />Flood elevations shown on the FIRM are primarily intended for flood insurance rating <br />purposes. For construction and/or floodplain management purposes, users are cautioned to <br />use the flood elevation data presented in this FIS in conjunction with the data shown on the <br />FIRM. <br /> <br />Water-surface elevations (WSELs) of floods of the selected recurrence intervals were <br />computed through use of the USACE's HEC-2 step-backwater computer program <br />(Reference 6). <br /> <br />Cross sections for the backwater analyses were obtained from several sources. For the <br />Fraser River and Vasquez Creek reaches previously studied by Worrall, the cross-section <br />data were used without modification (Reference 1). F or the reach of the Fraser River <br />through Beaver Village, cross sections from a developer's study were used in the upper <br /> <br />8 <br />