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<br />Modeled vs Meaured Debris Flow Depths <br />8-17-03 Event, Missionary Ridge Fire <br /> <br />~ 200 <br />iL .. 150 <br />.!!! " <br />- .., <br />.c u <br />" " <br />0 100 <br />'0": <br />" - . <br />_ a. <br />" " 50 .-. <br />..0 <br />" <br />~ . <br /> 0 <br /> 0 50 100 <br /> <br />. Channel Depths <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. Flood Plain Depths <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />-I <br /> <br />~ Measured=Modeled <br />Data <br /> <br />150 <br /> <br />200 <br /> <br />Flo.2D Depth, inches, 100 yr Storm <br /> <br />Figure 2. Modeled debris flow depths plaued with measured debris flow depths for debris <br />flow events that occurred on August 17. 2003. <br /> <br />Coal Scam Fire: Debris Flow Events- Fall 2002 <br /> <br />Debris flow depth data (n=42) were collected in 9 basins in the Coal Sc.lm fire <br />area. The depths in Figure 3 were mc.lsurcu from the events of August. September and <br />October 2002 which had the largest amounts of rainfall and largest recorded debris flow <br />events within the lire perimeter (Cannon ct. aI., 2003). The FLO-2D simulations lIsed <br />inflow hydrographs based on the 100 year predicted rainfall event, which in the <br />Missionary Ridge area was 1.64 inches of rain in one hour. The debris now events from <br />2002 that were compared to the modeled results were 5 ye:'lr storm events or less, with a <br />maximum average stonn intensity of 0.67 inches per hour. The tolal stonn precipitation <br />amount ranged from 0.16 - 0.67 inches (RA WS 2003). <br />Nine measured debris now depths in 4 of the basins exceeded the calculated <br />depths for a 100 year debris now event (Figure 3). All but one of the measurement points <br />that exceeded the model predictions were in channels. Again this may be an under- <br />estimation ofdehris now depths by FLO.2D or it may be an artifact of greater debris <br />now depths in incised channels. The data arc somewhat disconcerting given the fact that <br />the measured stonn events have a five year recurrence interval (or less) and the FL042D <br />simulations were run for a 100 year event. <br />