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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:32:01 PM
Creation date
10/22/2007 11:55:45 AM
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Weather Modification
Title
The Southern Plains Experiment in Cloud Seeding of Thunderstorms for Rainfall Augmentation Phase II (SPECTRA)
Prepared For
The Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation
Prepared By
Woodley Weather Consultants
Date
12/28/2005
State
TX
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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These observations of cloud-droplet spectrum, liquid water contents and hydrometeor sizes and types, as well as <br />inferences about cloud updrafts, are to be used to determine the impact of the CCN particulates on in-cloud <br />processes, most notably coalescence. Since measurements were also made at higher elevations in the region of <br />ice processes, it will be possible to infer the effect of the aerosols on these processes as well. <br /> A high-performance twin-engine aircraft (Cheyenne II), equipped with state-of-the-art cloud <br />microphysics instrumentation, was deployed within and in proximity to operational rain-enhancement “target” <br />areas in semi-arid West and South Texas during the 2-month time frame beginning on August 4, 2004. The <br />capabilities of this aircraft are addressed in Appendix A.Measurements of CCN were also made in western and <br />southern Oklahoma, as well as in other sectors of Texas where cloud seeding has not been performed in recent <br />years. In all, the research aircraft conducted 34 missions during the 9-week field program, logging a total of 75 <br />hours. The results of SPECTRA I are presented in a separate document. <br />2.2 SPECTRA II <br /> SPECTRA II to document the effect of hygroscopic salt seeding on internal cloud properties was <br />conducted during May and early June of 2005 as documented herein. It is important first, however, to establish <br />the scientific basis for seeding with hygroscopic particles. <br />3.0 SCIENTIFIC BASIS FOR HYGROSCOPIC SALT SEEDING <br /> Recent experiments have sought to determine if hygroscopic seeding of individual convective clouds <br />can improve their precipitation efficiency by enhancing the coalescence process within them. Randomized <br />. <br />experiments in South Africa using hygroscopic flares (Mather et al, 1997; Bigg, 1997) and in Thailand using <br />hygroscopic salts introduced in bulk into the clouds (Silverman and Sukarnjanaset, 2000) have produced <br />statistically significant increases in radar-estimated rainfall from the seeded clouds, ranging from 30 to 60 <br />percent. Numerical simulations of the growth of the salt particles to precipitation-size particles support the field <br />results (Cooper et al., 1997). Most impressive has been the replication of the South African results in Mexico <br />(Bruintjes et al., 1999, 2001; Bruintjes, 1999). The method, involving the production of hygroscopic salts from <br />burning flares affixed to the seeder aircraft circling in updrafts at cloud base, has not yet been tested over a large <br />area, nor has it been tested in a meaningful way in the U. S. <br /> Seeding at cloud base with hygroscopic material to produce precipitation increases is predicated on the <br />assumption that the rain-producing process evolves in the following manner: (1) the introduction at cloud base <br />of large and giant cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) produced by burning hygroscopic flares in racks mounted <br />to the wings of the seeder aircraft; (2) preferential activation of the larger CCN from the flares, leading to a <br />broadening of the cloud droplet distribution; (3) growth of the large cloud droplets into raindrops via natural <br />coalescence processes, in clouds which could not otherwise have grown raindrops through warm-rain processes; <br />(4) the transport of the raindrops into the supercooled portion of the cloud where the raindrops freeze due to <br />their larger size; (5) invigoration of the cloud due to released latent heat and growth of the frozen drops to large <br />graupel by accretion of the cloud water; and (6) increased radar-estimated rainfall at cloud base and <br />presumably more rainfall at the ground, when the enhanced water mass moves downward through the cloud <br />(Mather et al., 1997). Most of these links in the conceptual model guiding the hygroscopic seeding <br />experimentation have not yet been documented satisfactorily. Further, the conceptual model remains in a state <br />of flux. <br />13 <br />
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