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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:31:50 PM
Creation date
10/22/2007 11:46:54 AM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Title
Exploratory Analysis of Climatic Rainage Data for Evidence of Effects of the North Dakota Cloud Modification Project on Rainfall in the Target Area
Prepared For
North Dakota Atmospheric Resource Board
Prepared By
Paul Smith, Paul Mielke Jr., Fred Kopp
Date
2/1/2004
State
ND
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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Table 2: Statistical characteristics of the Primary Climatic Gage Data <br />(Values represent June-August season totals in inches.) <br />TargetControlNorth Control South Control <br />(10 gages) (21 gages) (10 gages) (11 gages) <br />Median73.79125.0666.0962.39 <br />Mean74.405126.82965.27161.558 <br />(per gage) (7.44)(6.04)(6.53)(5.60) <br />Std. Deviation 19.4335.8318.5719.80 <br />Coefficient of 0.2610.2830.2840.322 <br />Variation <br />Correlation with Time 0.005-0.0870.069-0.221 <br />Correlation with ----0.7710.7610.683 <br />Target Area <br />Correlation with North ---------0.744 <br />Control <br />The correlations between areas are more or less typical of this kind of data. They <br />suggest that ordinary linear regression would account for about half of the variance in the <br />predictand data. It may, however, be worth noting that a randomized-crossover rain <br />enhancement experiment in Italy (List et al. 1999) with similar correlation between areas <br />did not identify a significant seeding effect. <br />Interestingly, the overall frequency distributions of the data (Figure 1) suggest <br />that they can be represented fairly well by normal distributions – except for the “outlier” <br />very wet year of 1993. This could be useful in simulations of seeding experiments or <br />other similar studies. <br />6 <br />
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