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<br />Let me talk a little bit about trends and the direction we are moving in the State of Colorado. Let me talk about it in the <br />sense of land and water. Since 1978, Colorado has annually lost an average of 90,000 acres out of agricultural <br />production. The Arkansas valley has lost an average of 36,000 agricultural acres per year. Statewide, we have lost <br />19,000 acres of irrigated land each year since 1978, and that figure in the Arkansas basin is 5,000 acres. From a peak of <br />3.4 million acres, statewide irrigated acreage has dropped 8% a year since 1978. The Ogallala aquifer now accounts for <br />20% of Colorado's irrigation base. So I think that creates a basis, a kind of a trend as to where we're going. <br /> <br />In our office at CDA, we have a multitude of responsibilities, from regulations to establishing policy, to making <br />recommendations on state and federal legislation. You know what we all do once in awhile; we get so focused on one <br />particular issue that we make that the world. We stay focused on that issue and we forget the rest of the story or the <br />whole picture. That is important to keep in mind, because as growth continues I think these trends will continue. <br />Colorado is a beautiful place -- it has aesthetics, it has a good economy right now; we've got to work on some things but <br />this is a great place to live. This state's growth has been in the top three of the 50 states, three years in a row . It has the <br />highest growth, the best economic prosperity, and this is a place people want to be. So what's our challenge? <br /> <br />I think our challenge is trying to say this is where we are, either at the four yard line or the 50, and this is where we want <br />to go. I think if we can do that as a group and with a common voice, we can move forward. So I suggest to you that we <br />will continue to lose some of our ag lands unless we work to change that trend. That's what Smart Growth was really <br />intending to do as agriculture's part of the effort. <br /> <br />Let me talk about some of the consequences if these trends do continue. There will be fewer and fewer places to grow <br />food. Right now it doesn't really matter; we grow more than we can produce and we export 20 some percent of our <br />production. Let me give you one little thiIig that always keeps coming into mind about how important is agriculture. <br />Obviously, if you're in agriculture it's very important, it's your livelihood. But, I think it's more than that. There are <br />demographics that say if we continue going along this road that we are walking, we will consume all the agricultural <br />food that we produce in this country by the year 2025. We will no longer be exporting food. And if we continue to grow <br />in population, what's going to happen in the year 2050? You've heard the Governor say, "What is your vision, what do <br />you want it to be like SO years from now?" Fifty years from now is 2046? Well, someplace along that road, we're going <br />to be faced with the public, the urban public, the people that do not live off the land and do not have the same <br />information that ag producers have. They're going to have to recognize that there must be a change or all of a sudden, <br />food gets to be important. A friend of mine always told me it was not how much food you have that really makes the <br />difference, it's the lack of food that really makes the difference. <br /> <br />My intention is not to try to scare everybody and say we should be alarmed. I think we can avoid that. I think we can <br />make it good for agriculture and the public in general by simply identifying it as a possibility and planning it out and <br />making things not happen like demographers are projecting that could. As we continue to grow, I think agriculture will <br />continue to lose land and water. I think it will get moved more and more to other uses. We looked at a wonderful <br />proposal here by Pueblo. There will be more expectation for private use for citizens to utilize. <br /> <br />Let me go back and summarize what really Smart Growth is. The Governor started a year and a half ago and said we <br />have to think about where we're going to effectively manage the state. Really, Smart Growth is just a vehicle to have <br />:People think about the future, about what they want it to be 50 years from now, about where they were going. It was to <br />stimulate a grounds-up kind of approach, trying to solve a complex set of problems. The Governor realized that there <br />were really some diverse concerns. Some people were saying, "We don't want to grow any more." Some people were <br />saying, "We want to grow more." Some people were saying, "We want to use our resources for this activity, not that <br />activity." In that whole process, and surprising to a lot of people, Smart Growth increased the visibility of agriculture. I <br />think primarily that it was done because people started to recognize a lot of the values that they appreciate, and <br />agriculture has provided for them a long time. A lot of the wildlife habitat that is provided in this country and in this <br />state is provided by landowners, private landowners that are mostly in agriculture. It's very important to maintain that <br />habitat so that there is a success to point to. <br /> <br />Agriculture not only provides those other amenities or needs or desires of the public, but it also creates jobs. It also pays <br /> <br />Arkansas River Basin Water Forum <br /> <br />42 <br /> <br />itA River of Dreams and Realities" <br />