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<br />10
<br />
<br />Construction of the Precipitation- and Rainfall-Frequenc Maps. The
<br />relationships shown in tables ~-5 were used to estimate the precipitation-
<br />or rainfall-frequency values for a 5-minute latitude and longitude over
<br />Colorado. The normal annual precipitation and normal May to September
<br />
<br />Relations for Ma to October Season. Consideration of themeteorologi-
<br />cal situations that produce large point values of precipitation in Colorado
<br />in the May through October season indicate that a high proportion of them
<br />result from thunderstorms, either air mass or frontal. During this season
<br />the Gulf of Mexico is the primary moisture source for eastern Colorado. In
<br />western Colorado, particularly for the southern-facing San Juan Mountains,
<br />the Pacific Ocean remains a primary moisture source, but moisture coming
<br />from the Gulf of Mexico during periods of southerly or southeasterly flow
<br />becomes almost equally important. These considerations led to the conclusion
<br />that the region should be separated along the Continental Divide and then
<br />westward along the crest of the Sail Juan Mountains. East and south of this
<br />line moist air is not lifted over massive orographic barriers, and moisture
<br />from the Gulf of Mexico is either the primary source or equally as important
<br />as the Pacific moisture source. North and west of this boundary moist air
<br />from the Gulf of Mexico has to be lifted over barriers with average ele-
<br />vations of over 10,000 feet and moisture from the Pacific Ocean has a long
<br />overland trajectory. The western boundary of both of these regions is a
<br />generalized crest line that extends along the ridge of the Wasatch Mountains
<br />and Plateau. Table 5 shows the relations used to estimate rainfall-frequency
<br />values in regions of sparse or no data for the 6- and 24-hour durations for
<br />the 50 and 1 percent probability levels.
<br />
<br />00
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<br />The 100-year 6-hour amounts were first correlated with the 100-year
<br />24-hour amounts for the same region used to develop the relation for the
<br />2-year return period. Relations (table 4) developed for basins that were
<br />primarily in Colorado, Utah and Nevada provided better results than those
<br />which included basins in Arizona and New Mexico. For the basins along the
<br />southern border of Colorado, San Juan, Rio Grande, etc., the relations de-
<br />veloped for the Arizona and New Mexico frequency maps were used. This
<br />equation is also shown in table 4.
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<br />Relations were also developed to estimate the 2- and 100-year 6-hour
<br />amounts. Previous studies indicate relations between 6- and 24-hour amounts
<br />to be fairly consistent over large regions. i.e.. they show little geographic
<br />variation. A relationship to estimate the 2-year 6-hour precipitation was
<br />developed previously from data for basins in Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado,
<br />Utah, and Nevada. This same relation was used to develop the precipitation-
<br />frequency maps already issued for New Mexico and Arizona and is shown in
<br />table 4.
<br />
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<br />enabled the development of regional generalization based upon station data
<br />When the maps for the longer return periods were developed the number of
<br />stations with long records for which reasonably reliable 100-year values
<br />could be computed was considerably less~ (Thirty-six percent of the stations
<br />had less than 20 years of record.) It was considered advisable therefore,
<br />to develop a relation (table 3) for this region to aid in interpolating
<br />between stations.
<br />
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