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<br />between Kersey is less than 15 percent of the <br />lagged consumptive use from total well pump- <br />ing (-31,400 af/yr vs. -248,000 aflyr)3) or 7 per- <br />cent of total pumping. Assuming 8,850,000 af <br />of alluvial aquifer storage, the hydrologic im- <br />pact ofthe wells is a 0.3 percent of total storage. <br /> <br />2. Well pumping has had virtually no impact on <br />the river during the months of November through <br />April. <br /> <br />FREQUENCY ANALYSIS <br /> <br />Because a wide year-to-year variation exists in replace- ~ <br />ment requirements, a frequency analysis was made of ~ <br />J: -50 <br />the annual totals in Table 1. Results from this analysis ~ <br />B <br />are plotted in Figure 7. Also plotted for reference are <br />hydrologic impacts of the simulated wells in 2002, the <br />most recent severely dry year, and also for 1935, as- <br />suming that all wells that existed in 2002 had pumped. <br />As seen in Figure 6, 2002 had a recurrence interval of <br />10 years and 1935 approximately 20 years. Also plot- <br />ted in Figure 7 is the level of replacement water well <br />users would be required to have in place each year in <br />order to continue pumping at historic levels. This in- <br />formation was obtained from a survey of court-decreed <br />replacement water requirements which indicated that <br />for some 4,000 wells that existed in 2002, almost <br /> <br />Figure 5 - Average Year Water Yield Simulation <br />of the South Platte River Between Kersey <br />and Julesburg 1975 - 1994 <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br /> <br />South Platte <br />River at Kersey <br /> <br />..... <br />Q) <br />~ <br />Q) <br />.. <br /><) <br />'" <br />o <br />o <br />0_ 0 <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />50 <br /> <br />" <br />i/. <br />/., ~ <br />1/- <br /> <br />.-...... .ri" <br />. / "........:---. -::-'1.::""'" <br />/." ........ <br />...... ............South Platte River at Julesburg <br /> <br />:::........ = ::...-:.:: :::: ~~~~~r:d <br /> <br />{\ Injury <br />\\ .......-: - <br />.". .",..-;1'.... <br />\ ............ ...... <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />J <br /> <br />A SON <br /> <br />N 0 J <br /> <br />F M A <br /> <br />M <br /> <br />J <br /> <br />250,000 af of groundwater consumptive use would have <br />been required each year to pump at historic levels (Fig- <br />ure 8). Augmentation plans for the approximately 2,000 <br />wells currently pumping, require a 50-year recurrence <br />interval supply of water to be in place each year for <br />these wells to pump at historic levels. <br /> <br />Figure 6 - Comparison of Simulated Average Annual Replacement Water Requirements for 1975 - 1994 <br />With Total Groundwater Consumptive Use (GWCU) <br /> <br />u:- ~ <br /><( <br />0 <br />0 <br />0_ <br />.... o::r:::) <br /> enu <br />c:: 30 ~:s: <br />w 'Cl <br />f- 10 <br /><( r-. <br />:s: en <br /> .... <br />f- <br />Z <br />w 20 <br />:E <br />w <br />U <br /><( <br />...J ~ ~ <br />a. <br />w <br />a::: 10 <br />0 <br />w <br />Q:; <br />::::l <br />0 <br />W <br />a::: 0 <br /> N D J F M A M J J A S <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />3) It is interesting that Glover (1975) proposed a restoration flow of 28,300 af in his analysis for 1957. <br /> <br />Page 6 <br />