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LongTermOutlookSept2007
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LongTermOutlookSept2007
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Last modified
11/18/2009 4:03:09 PM
Creation date
9/26/2007 9:03:39 AM
Metadata
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Template:
Drought Mitigation
Title
Seasonal Outlook Through March 2008
Date
9/25/2007
Description
Water Availability Task Force Meeting Presentation
Basin
Statewide
Drought Mitigation - Doc Type
Presentation
Document Relationships
NRCSSept2007
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\Backfile
SWSIReportSept2007
(Message)
Path:
\Drought Mitigation\DayForward
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<br />NIN03_4 SST anomaly plum,e <br />ECIV1WF forecast fronl 1 Jul 2007 <br /> <br />rronthly mea n S oom slies relative D NCEP a.:ljusted 01.,,2 1971 -2000 cli matolo;ri <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />----.-- System 3 <br /> <br />'.. <br />. 'II <br />'\. <br /> <br />G \.. <br /> <br />"'iii <br />ar'. '''.. <br /> <br />::E:. ' ..'II <br />..... . II. ......1.. <br /> <br />~. 0 ...." .... <br />m: "'.... <br />E <br />o. <br />~ <br />c( <br /> <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />-1 <br /> <br />-1 <br /> <br />~ -2 <br /> <br />I <br /> <br /> <br />,The European model's July forecastS! <br />(left) was anticipating weak:-to- <br />moderate La Nina conditions by <br />about September - yet another <br />feather in its cap, it has done very <br />well over the last year. <br /> <br />NINO,3_4 SST anornaly plume <br /> <br />ECMWF forLecast from 1 Sep 2007 <br />Monthly mea n s oom slies relative b t'LICEP adjusted 01\1"2 1971 -moo c1i matolcg..... <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />JAN F EB hAAR AP R h..lA Y J UN J UL AIJ3 S E P O::T "VJV D EC JAN FE B hAA.R _ Sl~.stem S <br />2007 2008 J <br /> <br />Forscast issue date: 15 J u I 2JJ07 <br /> <br />QECMWF <br /> <br />Given the limited amount of <br />: subsurface support, it is not <br />, surprising that this model is not <br />I showing further strengthening into I <br />the winter, but the much more <br />! typical persistence one would <br />I expect for this time of year. <br /> <br />-- <br /> <br />o <br />~. <br />~ <br />~ 0 .,....'I!........, <br /> <br />'''.. ,....,. <br />1m.... <br />E <br />o <br />c <br /><( <br /> <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />-1 <br /> <br />-1 <br /> <br />0; <br /> <br />~-------- <br /> <br />-2 <br /> <br />-2 <br /> <br />. I I <br />I'~'AR APR "'J1A Y J U N J U L AU3 S E P O:::T I'\IOV DEe JAN FE B MAR AP R I'~'AY <br />2007 2008 <br /> <br />Forscast issue da te: 15 Ssp 2fXJ7 <br /> <br />CID4Vi'F <br />
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