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<br />."- <br /> <br />() <br /> <br />/ob/84 <br /> <br />002822 <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />Section 3 - Alternative Strategies <br /> <br />3.1 Introduction <br /> <br />A method of operating the system was developed that would provide a <br />means for predicting, scheduling, and distributing releases from <br />Lake Mead that are in excess of downstream demands. This method in turn <br />yielded a number of alternative operating strategies. <br /> <br />The method developed is based on the ~onc@pt of -ending the water year ~t <br />or below a maximum contents level. This maximum contents level is <br />d.ef.iD.edl:>Y-~h~~ amount of fl ood control space requi red on October ~ <br /> <br />An array of strategies is developed by considering several different <br />probability levels, where the probability is that of ending at or below <br />the maximum level. The identification for each candidate strategy is <br />this cumulative probability. In essence, the strategy identification is <br />also the pro~ability of not requiring additional flood control dictated <br />releases during the water year. <br /> <br />The method of operating the system and the resulting alternative strate- <br />gies were developed considering several desirable features described in <br />section 3.2. <br /> <br />3.2 Desirable features <br /> <br />The definition and selection of strategies was crucial to the success of <br />this study. The range of strategies had to be broad enough to serve all <br />interests and objectives. At the same time, the individual strategies <br /> <br />1 <br />