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Current state of <br />ENSO (bottom) <br />compared to two <br />months ago (top): <br />after a sharp drop <br />in early 2007, we <br />have seenmostly La <br />ñ <br />Nia-like conditions <br />in the Eastern <br />Pacific since this <br />spring (top), while <br />the all-important <br />central Pacifichas <br />remained more or <br />less neutral (bottom) <br />in clear contrast to <br />most dynamical (but <br />not statistical) <br />forecasts. <br />