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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />AYRES <br /> <br />~\SS;-J::; 2,:0-,)- ;:::8 <br /> <br />. Providing a basis for comparison with other representative Front Range <br />streams, which together have experienced a more full range of flood causing <br />events <br /> <br />The team will also work together to supplement the paleohydrologic evaluation with an <br />examination of the evidence and history of debris flows and how this is related to past <br />flooding events. <br /> <br />Hydrology - Regional <br /> <br />A customized local, regional hydrologic analysis will be completed covering Front <br />Range foothill streams located within the upper South Platte River basin. This will be <br />conducted with best available gage data and other already existing evaluations of gage <br />data. While individual gage analyses will not be accomplished to the same level of <br />detail as the Eldorado Springs gage, the level of detail will be consistent with the use of <br />the information within a regional context. <br /> <br />This local regional analysis will be used together with other established regional <br />analyses including the USGS 2000 analysis of magnitude and frequency of Colorado <br />Floods, the CWCB guidelines for 100-year approximate floodplain flood flows, and the <br />NRCS peak flows in Colorado for reasonableness and consistency. <br /> <br />TASK 4: FLOODPLAIN HYDRAULIC MODELING <br /> <br />Background <br /> <br />South Boulder Creek is a hydraulically complex channel and floodplain that requires 2- <br />dimensional (2-D) hydrodynamic modeling to accurately delineate floodplain <br />boundaries, map areas of inundation, assess risks to structures and, as stated in the <br />RFP, to "produce a visual picture of the floodplain for public understanding." The <br />hydraulic complexity is mainly caused by elevation differences between the channel <br />and the floodplain. The main channel flows along the eastern side of the valley at a <br />higher elevation than the floodplain along the western side. Further complicating the <br />hydraulics are split flows occurring near U.S. 36, Highway 93, and other locations. <br />Prior to any model development, Ayres Associates would conduct a detailed site <br />reconnaissance to assess channel and floodplain hydraulic roughness, channel <br />stability, debris potential, potential for channel avulsions, structures, embankments, <br />levees, ditches, and land use patterns. The reconnaissance will be conducted by <br />engineers and an Ayres Associates geomorphologist. <br /> <br />Limitations of 1-dimensional Modeling <br /> <br />A one-dimensional dynamic model, such as HEC-RAS, is not well suited for this project <br />for the following reasons. (1) In 1-dimensional modeling water surface elevations are <br />assumed to be equal across a cross section. Ayres Associates' experience with 2- <br />dimensional modeling shows that this is rarely the case, especially for areas with <br />significant lateral flow components. Due to high spatially varied flow along South <br />Boulder Creek, water surface elevation, flow depths and flow quantities would not be <br />accurately simulated in a 1-dimensional model. (2) Flow within a cross section is <br />assumed to be distributed proportionally to the conveyance distribution. This <br />assumption means that a low point along the western valley edge would receive <br /> <br />19 <br />