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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />AYRES <br /> <br />j;;\~S)Cc...:;;;?~~.~-::S3 <br /> <br />TASK 3: WATERSHED HVDROLOGV <br /> <br />Input to the Watershed Hydrology will be provided by both the Resource Atlas and <br />Climatology Tasks. The hydrologic analysis itself will consist of the following main <br />components: <br /> <br />Flood Frequency A definition of the peak discharge associated with floods of <br />specific frequencies of occurrence based on the statistics <br />of past recorded floods <br /> <br />Rainfall Runoff A definition of peak discharge and hydrographs associated <br />with basin meteorology (rainfall and snowmelt runoff) <br />based on precipitation duration/frequency. This will be the <br />basis for evaluating transposed meteorologic "scenario" <br />events and alterations to basin physical characteristics. <br /> <br />Paleohydrology A definition of peak discharge and frequency based on <br />paleostage indicators (primarily biologic and geomorphic), <br />both for floods that have a recorded hydrograph as well as <br />those that have occurred outside of recorded history. This <br />establishes the relative magnitude of paleo floods. This <br />information, in combination with the statistics of recorded <br />flows, defines a discharge-frequency relationship with a <br />high level of confidence for flows with a frequency of 50 to <br />500 years in which we are most interested. <br /> <br />Regional A definition of peak discharge associated with events that <br />have been experienced in geographically similar areas <br />along the Front Range. This is to provide a perspective on <br />floods that can occur, but may not yet have occurred at this <br />specific location. <br /> <br />The Resource Atlas Task will provide the digital platform for hydrologic information. <br />The basin hydrologic inventory will consist of information obtained from the immediate <br />preceding hydrologic study (Taggart 7/2000) and our independent reconnaissance. <br />This inventory will cover both physical/environmental information and relevant historical <br />changes in basin hydrologic conditions. This will include historical, anthropocentric <br />land use basin changes (forest logging, roads and railroads, community development, <br />mining, water storage and delivery systems, and agriculture). It will also include other <br />basin changes (forest fires, insect timber kill, drought, etc). Climatic changes are not <br />expected to be evaluated at this time. This information will provide a better <br />understanding of flood events that have occurred in the basin, will establish a basis for <br />adjusting recorded data or extending data and adjusting model parameters, and will <br />provide a normalized basis for comparing floods. This compilation and validation of <br />information will help us understand the realistic constraints involved with using this data <br />in the several hydrologic analyses. The amount and apparent accuracy of the data <br />controls the extent to which hydrologic model calibration and verification can be <br />accomplished. It also controls the type of calibration that is reasonably possible and <br />meaningful (for example, to what extent it can be accomplished to recreate virgin flows, <br />1938 flood peak flow, the 1969 post-Gross dam flood flow, etc.). <br /> <br />14 <br />