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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:29:19 PM
Creation date
7/18/2007 2:18:33 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
Applied Weather Associates Responses to Corps of Engineers Questions on the AWS Study of Cherry Creek PMP, Sept 2006
Prepared For
USACE
Prepared By
Applied Weather Associates
Date
1/29/2007
County
Douglas
Weather Modification - Doc Type
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<br />;;~ ~ <br /> <br />discussed in the WMO Manual, the maximization calculation effectively does not change if any <br />level at or above 400mb is used. A W A used the Table of Precipitable Water in HMR 55A, <br />Appendix C for precipitable water values. Thirty thousand feet was used as the height of the <br />300mb level. <br /> <br />For example, consider a storm that occurs at sea level with a storm representative 1000mb <br />dewpoint of70 F and a maximum 1000mb dewpoint of75 F. Using 300mb as the top ofthe <br />atmospheric moisture, the precipitable water associated with 70 F is 2.25 inches and with 75 F is <br />2.85 inches. These values produce a maximization factor of 2,85/2.25 = 1.267. If a higher level <br />in the atmosphere were used, say 200mb (approximately forty thousand feet), the precipitable <br />water associated with 70 F is 2.27 inches and with 75 F is 2.89 inches. These values produce a <br />maximization factor of 2.8912.27 = 1.273. Both of these calculations produce a maximization <br />factor of 1.27 when rounded to two significant digits. <br /> <br />To answer the Corps' question directly, the precipitable water above 300mb is not considered in <br />the A W A calculations consistent with the WMO Manual discussion, HMR 55A does not <br />provide any information on what level was used in HMR 55A calculations. <br /> <br />2. page 50. How was the storm center elevation of 5,000 feet determined? Note HMR 55A <br />lists a storm center elevation of 5,800 feet for the 1921 storm. <br /> <br />A W A response to Question 2. <br /> <br />The Storm Studies Pertinent Data Sheet for this storm, SW 1-23, shows the largest rainfall <br />observation at a location identified as No.3, Colorado, 12.0". The location for this location is <br />graphically shown on the storm isohyetal map from the NWS and is several miles northwest of <br />Pueblo. Coordinates hand written on the Storm Studies Sheet are 38020' N, 104041 W. This <br />location appears to be consistent with the plotted location on the NWS isohyetal map. A W A <br />produced a total storm isohyetal pattern using rainfall information from the NWS. The isohyetal <br />pattern is shown in Figure 4.2, page 51, of the report. The coordinates on the Storm Studies <br />Sheet fall within the maximum rainfall isohyetal in Figure 4.2. According to DeLorme Topo <br />USA mapping software, the elevation at thIS location is 4,960 feet. Additionally, a letter from <br />the Office of Hydrologic Director discussing the Design Storm Studies for the South Platte River <br />Basin, dated May 29, 1944, discusses the June 3-5, 1921 storm. This discussion states"... the <br />storm of June 1921 occurred at elevations of 5,000 feet.. ,." Using this information, an elevation <br />of 5,000 feet was used as the storm center elevation for the 1921 storm. <br /> <br />A W A could not find the reference in HMR 55A that lists a storm center elevation of 5,800 feet <br />for the 1921 storm. This elevation is probably associated with the rainfall center north of <br />Penrose. The area of large rainfall in this region was much smaller than the area northwest of <br />Pueblo and was associated with significant terrain upslope. A W A used the larger rainfall <br />volume associated with the region northwest of Pueblo for transpositioning to the Cherry Creek <br />drainage basin to be conservative, Hence, the elevation associated with this rainfall region was <br />used, <br />
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