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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Tomichi Creek has a larger percent of watershed in high mountain valley and as a result, eight out of <br />sixty-three years of peak values were caused by rain on snow event flows. For Tomichi Creek, two <br />analyses were performed: one with a data set including the rain on snow peaks, and a second with rain <br />on snow peaks removed using only the snowmelt peaks for the corresponding years. Peaks that occur as <br />a result of rain on snow runoff were small - on the order of the 99 - 84 percent chance exceedence flow <br />(approximately 1 - 6 year return period) - in comparison to the snowmelt runoff peak values for the other <br />years. The rainfall on snow events peaks were replaced with the next largest non rain on snow event in <br />the record. In addition, the 3-, and 7-day runoff were also replaced since the magnitude of the rain on <br />snowmelt event caused the 3-day and 7-day averages to be higher than the replacement peak and 1-day <br />value for some events. It was not necessary to replace any values to eliminate rain on snow events for <br />runoff periods longer than a 7-day. This method was continued throughout the process for consistency. <br /> <br />The removal of the rain on snow events had a notable effect on the resulting skew values. The altered <br />data set was more negatively skewed than that of the corresponding raw data set. <br /> <br />According to the guidelines of Bulletin 178, page 16, <br /> <br />"If the flood events that are believed to comprise two or more populations cannot be <br />identified and separated by an objective and hydrologically meaningful criterion, the <br />record shall be treated as coming from one population." <br /> <br />Based on the above guideline and the ability to identify rain on snow events that show a notable impact <br />on the resulting statistics, the use of the 0.5-inch rainfall threshold was used throughout the remainder of <br />the study as the "objective and meaningful hydrologic criterion" to identify events influenced by rainfall. <br /> <br />4.2 REACHES WITH INSUFFICIENT STREAMGAGE DATA <br /> <br />For all but Reaches 5 and 8, the data from the stream gage records are inadequate for completing the <br />flood frequency analyses. For these six reaches regression and correlation analyses are completed using <br />the REGFREQ program to expand the available records by correlating them with longer records available <br />in the region. The REGFREQ program was chosen for its ability to determine the correlation of <br />overlapping data between two gages. The resulting correlation coefficients were used to determine the <br />best gage to supplement the record. The REGFREQ program produces a reconstituted data set with <br />missing data points estimated based on the correlation between the gages and computes the associated <br />frequency statistics (mean, standard deviation, and skew). The reader is referred to the REGFREQ Users <br />Manual (USACE, 1972) for more information on the methodology used in the program. <br /> <br />The REGFREQ program was used to determine the reconstituted gage data frequency statistics (mean, <br />standard deviation, and skew) for the annual peak, 1-,3-, 5-, 7-, 15-, 30- and 60-day family of curves. <br />The family of curves and associated gage data (median plotting positions) were plotted on a log- <br />probability graph. In order to provide a consistent family of curves for each reach, the standard deviation <br />and skew values were manually smoothed. The smoothing prevents the crossing of any of the curves and <br />provides a consistent set of curves. In addition, smoothing was done to improve the fit of the curves to the <br />raw gage data. This was needed since no correlation was so close to 100 percent that the estimated data <br />provided a perfect fit with the original data. The resulting smooth statistics are provided in Chapter 5. <br /> <br />9 <br />