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Final Gap Analysis: <br />Gunnison Basin <br />Estimated Demand met <br />Increase in Gross Identified Gross <br />by future water <br />Demand Demand Shortfall <br />County <br />supplies and additional <br />(AF) (AF) <br />conservation <br />Delta 4,500 4,000 500 <br />*Gunnison 1,200 100 1,100 (1,890) <br />Hinsdale 100 0 100 <br />Mesa 1,700 1,600 100 <br />Montrose 6,400 6,100 300 <br />Ouray 1,000* 700 300 <br />TOTAL 14,900 12,500 2,400 <br />* UGRWCD estimates Gunnison County shortfall could be 1,890 AF <br />75 <br />Municipal and Industrial Gaps <br />Increased Demand for Estimated <br />M&I and Self - Gap, AFY in <br />Basin Supplied Industrial 2030 Locations of Gap <br />Arkansas 98,000 17,500 Upper and Southwestern regions (augmentation credits) and <br />and Lower region and unincorporated El Paso County (firm <br />water supply) <br />Colorado 61,900 3,200 Smaller providers in Garfield County, Grand and Summit <br />Counties <br />Dolores/San Juan/ 18,800 4,900 San Miguel (water supply) and San Juan (infrastructure to <br />San Miguel deliver existing and future water supplies) <br />Gunnison 14,900 2,400 Crested Butte Mountain Resort (snowmaking) Upper Gunnison <br />and Ouray County (need for augmentation credits) and other <br />unincorporated areas not served by water districts <br />North Platte 100 0 No gap anticipated due to low increase in demand <br />Rio Grande 4,300 0 No gap anticipated due to low increase in demand <br />South Platte 409,700 90,600 All areas <br />Yampa/White/ 22,300 0 Concerns over drought reliability due to transit losses. Oil <br />Green shale development in White River basin could significantly <br />increase demands. <br />Total 630,000 118,600 <br />76 <br />38 <br />