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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:29:16 PM
Creation date
5/16/2007 3:02:42 PM
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Weather Modification
Title
The Feasibility of Operational Cloud Seeding in the North Platte River Basin Headwaters to Increase Mountain Snowfall
Prepared For
US Department of the Interior Bureau of Reclaimation
Prepared By
Jonnie G. Medina, Technical Service Center, Water Resources Services
Date
5/1/2000
County
Statewide
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />.1 <br /> <br />8.. SUMMARY <br /> <br />A proposed plan is given for the conduct of operational cloud seeding on winter clouds in the headwaters <br />of the North Platte River. The purpose ofthe seeding is to provide additional snowpack at high <br />elevations of the barriers that feed the North Platte River. When properly conducted, cloud seeding <br />offers technology that can now provide a logistically feasible and cost-effective option to enhance fresh <br />water resources in some mountain watershl:::ds of the West. The American Meteorological Society and <br />the World Meteorological Organization state that statistical analyses of some cloud seeding programs <br />have suggested mountain snowfall increases of 10 to 15 percent per winter. Reclamation cloud seeding <br />studies in the 1980-90s have contributed physical measurements and analyses that documented cloud and <br />pn:cipitation positive responses to cloud sel~ding. <br /> <br />It is recommended that the proposed program consists of a cloud seeding design phase of 3 years and 10 <br />years of operational seeding. Previous cloud seeding studies indicate that each area presents site specific <br />problems that must be addressed before operational seeding can be successful. The design phase is <br />recommended to develop seeding approaches that are proper for the Headwaters Region, and develop and <br />test automated seeding equipment and comjputer software. The design phase will also enable dealing with <br />environmental compliance and obtaining necessary permits. No cloud seeding will be allowed until <br />compliance is achieved. <br /> <br />Estimates of additional water were made from a sample network of 55 seeding devices that would cover <br />an approximate 28 percent of high-elevation contributing area to the North Platte River watershed. <br />Applying a 11.25 percent increase to average winter precipitation yielded an additional 59,727 acre-feet <br />of water. Seeding in a dry year could possibly produce an additional 29,863 acre-feet, and 89,590 acre- <br />feet in a wet year. With a seeded areal coverage of 40 percent, the increases grow to the respective <br />85,326,42,663, and 127,989 acre-feet of water. Using a water value of$30 per acre-feet, the benefit/cost <br />ratio is 2.18 for a normal year for an areal coverage of 40 percent (likely achievable). The estimated 10- <br />year cost of operations is $11,715,638, so that for 55 cloud treatment devices for example, the average <br />annual cost of operations per seeding device is $21,30 I. The cost of conducting the design phase effort, <br />including environmental compliance, but short of equipment costs, is $1,498,040 for the three years. <br />Equipment costs are estimated at $1,801,480. . <br /> <br />With recent gains in knowledge, in part because of Reclamation support, it is believed that cloud seeding <br />has reached the point that a well designed and managed program can produce cost effective water <br />resources benefits. The additional water can help satisfy increasing demands of western watersheds. <br />Properly conducted cloud seeding can improve water quality and domestic, and recreation uses. <br /> <br />36 <br />
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