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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:29:16 PM
Creation date
5/16/2007 3:02:42 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Title
The Feasibility of Operational Cloud Seeding in the North Platte River Basin Headwaters to Increase Mountain Snowfall
Prepared For
US Department of the Interior Bureau of Reclaimation
Prepared By
Jonnie G. Medina, Technical Service Center, Water Resources Services
Date
5/1/2000
County
Statewide
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />~ <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />contour was located. This problem may be solvable either by relocation of propane dispensers, and/or the <br />use of AgI generators positioned at somewhat lower elevations. It may be that AgI generator placement <br />well upwind may enable seeding ofthese difficult-to-target areas. These possibilities should be explored <br />during the design phase. Generally, it is believed that high elevation seeding sites can be found along <br />most of the length of each barrier without violating wilderness area boundaries. <br /> <br />To obtain estimates of aerial coverage by the seeding devices, Holroyd had to use several assumptions <br />including that seeding effects began 10 minutes after seeding initiation and end at 40 minutes, and <br />dispersal occurs within a 15-degree angle sector centered on the wind direction. The times and angle <br />settings were estimated from seeding trials in the Grand Mesa and the Wasatch Plateau of central Utah <br />(appendix A). Holroyd used digital terrain at 0.5-kilometer resolution to determine seeded area pixel <br />numbers in 500-feet elevation bands down to 9000 feet elevation. With areal coverage known for each <br />seeding device, an estimated treatment effect can be applied to natural precipitation estimates for selected <br />elevation bands, then values summed over all seeded areas to obtain a total volume SWE. <br /> <br />Table 4.3 presents the seeded area coverages in pixel totals for elevation bands that are identified at mid- <br />elevations (9250, 9750 feet, etc.). The table gives estimates of additional water from cloud treatment <br />using the pixel areas within seeded plumes, for 240 and 360 degree winds, assuming for all elevation <br />bands a 26-inch average SWE for 240 degree winds and 2 inch SWE for the 360 degree winds. The <br />SWE values were obtained by area-weight averaging the 1961-1990, 1 April, SWE for five Park Range <br />and seven Medicine Bow snowpack sites. The overall outcome of the area-weight averaging is 28.1 <br />inches of SWE. The use of two inches of SWE for the 360 degree wind cases is an estimate based on <br />study of wind rose information from the Storm Peak Laboratory. <br /> <br />. Additional water volumes from cloud seeding were estimated for average, dry and wet years based on 50 <br />and 150 percent of average SWE, for the areal coverage estimated by Holroyd. Also, water estimates <br />were developed for the higher areal coverages of 40 and 60 percent of total area (above 9000 feet <br />elevation and contributing to the North Platte River). Holroyd's calculations led to 28 percent areal <br />coverage (elevation band area weighted) by seeding plumes. <br /> <br />Estimates of additional water for the average year were 59,727, 85,326, and 127,989 acre-feet, for the <br />28-, 40-, and 60-percent areal coverages, respectively. The comparable values for the dry year were <br />29,863,42,663, and 63,994 acre-feet, and 89,590, 127,989, and 191,983 acre-feet for the wet year. The <br />values for the wet year may be an overestimate in some winters if seeding suspension criteria suspends <br />operations. <br /> <br />Table 4.3 does not take into account the varying opportunity across year type to conduct cloud seeding; <br />namely, the possibly differing cloud numbers and level of favorable seeding circumstances in available <br />clouds. The table values assume uniform opportunity across normal, dry and wet years. The design <br />phase of the project will look into this issue. It may be that dry years offer more inefficient natural clouds <br />than normal and wet years, thus presenting more treatment opportunities (or fewer opportunities). <br /> <br />26 <br />
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