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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:29:16 PM
Creation date
5/16/2007 3:02:42 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Title
The Feasibility of Operational Cloud Seeding in the North Platte River Basin Headwaters to Increase Mountain Snowfall
Prepared For
US Department of the Interior Bureau of Reclaimation
Prepared By
Jonnie G. Medina, Technical Service Center, Water Resources Services
Date
5/1/2000
County
Statewide
State
CO
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Scientific Study
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<br />status of seeding equipment and weather measurement systems <br />~ Logic to prepare periodic status reports and disseminate to selected sites <br />~ Logic to archive received infonnation <br />~ Logic for override and easy updating of selected criteria such as for seeding <br />~ Logic to test cloud seeding suspension criteria <br />~ Logic to perform quality control and report results <br /> <br />The computer software should be installed in the field office main computer server that can communicate <br />with the Reclamation and data analysis group intranets. The software system must have flexibility to <br />incorporate additional seeding or data gathering equipment. This system will act as a controller of cloud <br />seeding (with override), provider of systems and cloud seeding status, and enable data quality checking <br />and archive. The software and communications system should be developed as early as possible for <br />adequate .testing and necessary revisions. Development of this software will be an important goal of the <br />design phase. <br /> <br />Establishment of the cloud seeding criteria for incorporation into the controlling software will involve the <br />results of field data gathering and analysis. Criteria may differ from one seeding device to another <br />because of local terrain and other conditions. The criteria logic system must have the flexibility for easy <br />revisions. An experienced programmer will be needed to handle software development. <br /> <br />3.8. Design Phase Costs <br /> <br />When the decision is made to proceed further with seeding the Headwaters Region, a detailed planning of <br />the limited area prototype test seeding program should be developed along with a detailed budget in <br />current year dollars. Program planning should proceed for selected test studies and modeling, and the <br />equipment and manpower resources needed. Once a program plan is well developed, serious budget <br />planning can proceed. Past test programs have cost several hundred thousand to several million dollars <br />per year, depending upon many diverse factors. An estimate of costs for conducting the design phase <br />work is given here for initial planning purposes. <br /> <br />Given in table 3.2 are the project design costs estimated to be $1,498,040, including environmental and <br />permitting cost of $293,000. The design costs do not include equipment purchase costs. The design <br />phase is estimated to continue for approximately three years. Environmental compliance costs are <br />estimated at $275,000 for an EIS of moderate complexity that requires two to three years to complete. <br />The cloud seeding plan development costs are estimated at $1,093,640. Modeling costs are $164,990 for <br />three years. Two winters of field studies aimed at testing seeding procedures and cloud responses in the <br />Headwaters Region will cost $779,400. The costs of evaluation plan development and estimation of <br />design-phase test seeding are $61,360. <br /> <br />The design phase field studies will likely involve the letting of a contract to provide most of the analytical <br />and support personnel, office facilities, and supplies necessary to conduct the physical studies and <br />analyses, and provide design function support. During the two-year effort, the goal will be to determine <br />the winter meteorological conditions of the Headwaters Region and the seeding approach for achieving <br />precipitation increases in the various weather scenarios presented by nature. Field studies and cloud <br />modeling will yield a design for the operational seeding phase. The analysis effort will conclude with a <br />report that presents a cloud treatment plan for the Headwaters Region, equipment and personnel <br />requirements, and an estimate of precipitation increase and runoff from seeding. <br /> <br />Other work tasks of the design phase will entail contracting. These include site surveying, modeling, <br /> <br />14 <br />
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