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<br />002481 <br /> <br />physiographic and engineering data pertaining to reservoirs, dams, and river reaches. <br />Based on a review of the data, .u.J ~'.!W~M<""'JJl1rf1~_:~: .' <br />"M"~l~l'" l~IM,.~iDBth,~4.Wl_~~~hJW~ <br />'B.~:.i'~~~~',ef_~j~~e <br />~1~'~)_fRIIIB'tiDtm.~~~1IM. <br />Additionally, one or more temperature recording devices on the mains tern of the <br />Gunnison and certain major tributaries above Blue Mesa Reservoir (e.g., Lake Fork, <br />Cebolla, Willow, etc.) would be useful for development and calibration of a Blue Mesa <br />temperature model. <br /> <br />Data Analvsis. The primary objective of phase I of this project was to determine whether <br />or not modifications to the Aspinall Unit could result in warmer water temperatures <br />downstream near Delta. Before undertaking a substantial model development program, <br />the Recovery Program asked that we undertake a preliminary analysis of the data with the <br />pIlIpOSe~~l ~~j~'~s.j'.i.........rmer~ <br />t "j~mr~fic~;__-"'~g <br />~~~at~*hf.tlt'er'Of~i~'~~fl. Our scope for <br />phase I was limited to some straightforward processing of data for visualization and <br />preliminary statistical analyses. Nevertheless, the following conclusions can be drawn: <br /> <br />1. 81x ll._.....iIi8t.~ti~1~:k"~~~i()ns, <br />_.....~~~,~;_W<<\.._~. <br /> <br />2. Blue Mesa Reservoir is the primary cause of cold-water releases from the Aspinall <br />Unit. C;ryst~"~~;~W~~~~~;1~se'9ti~'~"'-.'.~~'" <br />"_~"~Jl~~"~~,,,,~;.:'''''*'_lj)tf~. <br /> <br />3. Warmer water is physically available in Blue Mesa, and could be released <br />downstream with a TCD. Models of all three reservoirs would be useful in <br />determining the impacts of such a structure on the thermal regimes of the reservoirs. <br /> <br />4. Tributary inflows do impact stream temperatures at Delta, but not with a frequency or <br />magnitude to render potential reservoir control ineffective. <br /> <br />5. Warmer releases from Crystal would result in warmer river temperatures at Delta. <br />Generally, release temperatures from Crystal would need to be increased about 3 Oc <br />to warm the river at Delta by 2 oc. <br /> <br />6. Stream temperatures at Delta show a strong statistical correlation to release <br />temperatures and atmospheric conditions; thus, a statistical model could potentially <br />be used in lieu of a more costly physically-based model of the river. <br /> <br />Constraints. We focused this work predominantly on questions of whether or not it <br />would be physically possible to obtain warmer stream temperatures near Delta through <br />operational or structural modifications to the Aspinall Reservoirs. However, a significant <br />consideration of any proposed change to the system would necessarily involve non- <br />physical factors including (but not limited to) lost hydropower revenue, state and federal <br />reserved water rights, interstate and international compacts, minimum instream flows, <br />