Laserfiche WebLink
<br /> <br />20 <br /> <br />4 <br />4 <br />4 <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />II <br />II <br />II <br />. <br />II <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />2.5 Task 2 - Implement algorithms simulating cloud seeding generators as <br />sources of IFN at specified ground-based sites <br /> <br />The CSU RAMS was used to provide real-time forecast support during <br />portions of the OW 2003-2004 Program's winter orographic cloud-seeding <br />activities. The model physics explicitly represent orographic clouds and <br />precipitation processes in mixed.phase clouds. A two. moment microphysics <br />scheme was used, in which mixing ratios and concentrations are predicted for <br />seven hydrometeor categories. Through the course of the 2003-2004 winter <br />season, evaluation of the model's real-time forecast performance led to a series of <br />adjustments in the simulation design. <br /> <br />The model was extended to include seeding effects in order to evaluate the <br />no-seed vs. seed precipitation simulated by RAMS. Algorithms were added to <br />RAMS simulating sources of IFN from cloud-seeding generators (low-level model <br />grid points). The extended model simulated sources of silver iodide (Agl) released <br />at each generator as recorded in WlNC's operational cloud-seeding logs. The Agl <br />was treated as a second predictive IFN field with its own activation characteristics. <br />The Agl activation law was based on laboratory experiments that used the same <br />types of generators and Agl materials as used by WlNC on the OW Program. <br />(WlNC used a 4% Agl solution with sodium iodide as a carrier in acetone along <br />with 1 % moth balls to improve nuclei activation between -2.5'C and -a.OoC.) As <br />with the standard IFN category. the number of seeded IFN that is activated <br />becomes a source of pristine ice crystals in equal numbers and a corresponding <br />sink of IFN that is available for subsequent activation. <br /> <br />The RAMS seeding simulations were set up identically as the control runs, <br />except for the addltionallFN category and the seeded Agl. Simulated 24-hr <br />precipitation in the seeded runs replaced the amounts from the corresponding non- <br />seeded control runs to form complete daily, event. monthly and seasonal simulated <br />precipitation totals that include all cloud-seeding operations. <br /> <br />The CSU Team originally intended to use a seeding event selected from <br />the OW 2002-2003 Program's operational season as a test case for the RAMS <br />model seeding code, in order to develop the code and have it ready when the <br />OW 2003-2004 Program's cloud-seeding data became available. OW Program <br />seeding contractor Larry Hjermstad (WlNC) chose the February 4, 2003 seeding <br />event for this test case and provided the seeding data. However, several factors <br />delayed the test case experiment, including the delayed acquisition of the <br />computer cluster, uncertainties in generator identification and location for the <br />previous season, and shifted priority to current season cases as those seeding <br />data became available. Thus this test case study was not completed until early <br />May 2004. where it was used as one of the seeding sensitivity studies for Task 4 <br />in the research project. The primary sensitivity explored with this test case <br />involved reducing the initial background or naturallFN concentration to 40% of <br />that used in the standard code. for both control and seeding runs. The February <br />4. 2003 seeding test case summary is in Appendix 3. <br />