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<br /> <br />_NIDIS-=A.~roactiYe.ApproactLtoJ)rQught <br /> <br />Droughts are as much a part of the weather <br />and climate extremes as Hoods, hurricanes and <br />tornadoes. Yet in marked contrast to the myri- <br />ad federal programs that report. prevent and <br />mitigate the damage of these other extreme <br />events, we passively accept drought's elTects as <br />an unavoidable natural hardship. <br />This passive approach to droughts is mani. <br />fested in our lack of a comprehensive [ederal <br />drought policy: we respond to droughts through ad hoc. crisis management, rather <br />than through proactive. coordinated strategies designed 10 mitigate the impacts. To <br />address other natural disasters - floods, hurricanes, tornadoes. etc. - Congress <br />enacted the Staflord Act, which gives clear roles and responsibilities to the various <br />federal agencies and makes the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) <br />the federal lead. <br />A simple explanation for the inferior treatment of droughts, vis a vis other natu- <br />ral disasters, is that droughts are much more difficult to identify. It is hard to miss <br />an oncoming !load, hurricane or tornado - or their immediate afiermath. <br />Droughts, on the other hand, are a creeping phenomenon, which develop slowly <br />over large areas and an extended period of time. This slow nature of drought hinders <br />the recognition of the true impacls, thus diminishing the urgency that would other- <br />wise trigger a timely and comprehensive response. <br />Recognition of droughts in a timely manner is dependent on our ability to moni- <br />lor and forecast lhe diverse physical indicators of drought, as well as relevant eco. <br />nomic, social and environmental impacts. Unfortunately, due to the lack of a <br />national drought policy, there has been no development to dale of a coordinated, <br />integrated drought monitoring and forecasting system. <br />Recent trends toward increased climate variability and vulnerability to drought <br />amplify the need lor leadership to formulate and implement a more integrated mon- <br />itoring and forecasting system. Indeed, as the WGA noted in its September 2003 <br />resolution, National Policies Regarding Global Climate Change, "The failure to take <br />appropriate actions to address global climate change riSKS economic and societal <br />damage." Water users across the board - farmers. ranchers, tribes, land managers, <br />business owners, recreationalists, wildlife managers, and decision-makers at all lev- <br />cIs of government - must be able to assess their drought risk in real time and <br />before the onset of drought, in order to make informed decisions. <br />The U.S. Drought Monitor, created in 1999 to better integrate data on current <br />conditions, is an important new tool in monitoring drought. The U.S. Seasonal <br />Drought Outlook, created in 2000, strives to better forecast drought Ilowever, these <br />two information sources. while very helpful, are initial indicators of the benefits that <br />will be gained from fuller integration of <br />relevant and available data to improve <br />monitoring, provide a better understanding <br />of how and why droughts occur, enhance <br />dissemination of information at the relevant <br />spatial and temporal scales, and, ultimately, <br />improve the forecasting of droughts. <br /> <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br /> <br />oil <br />