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<br />- <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />II <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />2.3 No-cost Evaluation by Seeding Contractor <br /> <br />The Denver Water Department program's seeding contractor, Larry Hjermstad, proposes <br />the testing ofa currently utilized Seeding Response Model developed by Western <br />Weather Consultants (WWC) to evaluate operational seeding programs. Since this model <br />was based upon similar results found from evaluating both the Colorado River Basin <br />Pilot Project (a randomized research seeding program) and the Vail Seeding Program (a <br />long-term operational program), this evaluation tool is worthy of testing. We would be <br />looking for both a comparative (CSU RAMS and WWC Model) amount or percentage <br />change of the natural forecast precipitation and evaluate how this amount or percentage <br />changes with respect to average directional storm movement through the region or cloud <br />types being seeded. WWC will provide the meteorological data for the test as part of the <br />operational data. The purpose of this analysis is to compare with what the model <br />estimates at the same observation sites. <br /> <br />References <br /> <br />Cooper, W.A. (1980) A method of detecting contact ice nuclei using filter samples. <br />Preprints, 8th International Conf on Cloud Physics, Clermont-Ferrand, France: <br />665-668. <br /> <br />Cotton, W.R., G. Thompson, P.W. Mielke, Jr (1994) Real-time mesoscale prediction on <br />workstations. Bull Amer Met Sac 75: 349-362. <br /> <br />Cotton, W.R., R.A. Pielke, Sr., R.L. Walko, G.E. Liston, c.J. Tremback, H. Jiang, R.L. <br />McAnelly, J.Y. Harrington, M.E. Nicholls, G.G. Carrio, J.P. McFadden (2003) <br />RAMS 2001: Current status and future directions. Metear. Atmas Physics, 82, 5- <br />29. <br /> <br />Curry, J.A., P.V. Hobbs, M.D. King, D.A. Randall, P. Minnis, G.A. Isaac, J.O. Pinto, T. <br />Uttal, A. Bucholtz, D.G. Cripe, H. Gerber, C.W. Fairall, T.J. Garrett, J. Hudson, <br />J.M. Intrieri, C. Jakob, T. Jensen, P. Lawson, D. Marcotte, L. Nguyen, P. <br />Pilewskie, A. Rangno, D.C. Rogers, K.B. Strawbridge, F.P.J. Valero, <br />A.G.Williams, D. Wylie (2000) FIRE Arctic clouds experiment. <br /> <br />DeMott P.J., M.P. Meyers, W.R. Cotton (1994) Parameterization and impact of ice <br />initiation processes relevant to numerical model simulations of cirrus clouds. J <br />Atmas Sci 51: 77-90. <br /> <br />Deshler, T. (1982) Contact ice nucleation by submicron atmospheric aerosols. PhD <br />dissertation, Dept of Physics and Astronomy, University of Wyoming, Laramie, <br />WY,107pp. <br /> <br />Feingold, G, R.L. Walko, B. Stevens, W.R. Cotton (1998) Simulations of marine <br />stratocumulus using a new microphysical parameterization scheme. Atmas Res <br />47-48: 505-528. <br /> <br />II-14 <br />