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<br />r, '" ., "'- <br />G'i U;) <br /> <br />flows occurred during 1983-86 and below-average <br />flows occurred during 1988-92 (fig. 3). Low <br />dissolved-solids concentrations occurred during the <br />high-flow period, and higher concentrations generally <br />occurred during the low-flow period, which caused an <br />upward trend in concentration. Also, there might have <br />been carryover or persistence of lower dissolved-solids <br />concentrations into 1987 caused by discharge of dilute <br />water stored from the high runoff years in reservoirs <br />and in shallow aquifers. <br /> <br />In contrast to unadjusted concentrations for <br />water years 1970-93, the flow-adjusted concentrations <br />for 1970-93 were decreasing and had highly signifi- <br />cant trends for the three stations (table 2). The <br />LOWESS smooth curves for Ihe flow-adjusted <br />dissolved-solids concentrations for 1970-93 are shown <br />in figure 4. The lIow-adjusted concentrations are resid- <br />uals from log-log regressions of concentration to <br />streamflow. All regression relations used for 1I0w <br />adjustment were significant and had p values less than <br />0.00]. The LOWESS smooth curve for 1970-93 <br />seems to indicate that all of the decrease in flow- <br />adjusted dissolved-solids concentrations at <br />station 09152500 in 1970-93 had occurred before <br />about 1981 (fig. 4). Salinity-control projects did not <br />stan in the Gunnison River Basin until 1988. The <br /> <br />smooth curves in figure 4 for stations 09095500 and <br />09163500 indicate that there were decreasing flow- <br />adjusted dissolved-solids concentrations in the <br />Colorado River during the ] 970's. <br /> <br />Flow-adjusted dissolved-solids concentra- <br />tions did not have significant trends (alpha 0.05) for <br />water years 1980-93 (table 2). The LOWESS smooth <br />curves for the flow-adjusted concentration data for <br />1980-93 are shown in figure 5. The large variations in <br />streamflow during 1980-93 (fig. 3) might have affected <br />the flow adjustment of data for this period. The flow- <br />adjustment regressions tended to underpredict (posi- <br />tive residuals) the dissolved-solids concentrations dur- <br />ing 1983-86, and perhaps the flow adjustment was <br />overcompensating for high streamflow during the <br />mid-] 980's. The LOWESS plots in figure 5 also <br />indicate generally decreasing trends in flow-adjusted <br />concentrations after about 1986, especially for <br />stations 09095500 and 09163500. The trend results <br />(table 2) for 1986-93 indicated highly significant <br />trends of decreasing flow-adjusted concentrations for <br />these two stations. If significant trends had occurred <br />only at station 09163500, those trends could be evi- <br />dence that the salinity-control projects were causing a <br />decrease in dissolved-solids concentrations during <br />1986-93. However, there were similar trends (table 2) <br /> <br />Table 2. Monotonic trends in periodic dissolved-solids concentrations for gaging stations 09095500 Colorado River near <br />Cameo, 09152500 Gunnison River near Grand Junction, and 09163500 Colorado River near the Colorado-Utah State line, <br />water years 1970-93 <br /> <br />{Periods are in water years; slopes me in milligrams per liter per year; percent is the slope expressed as percent change per year; p value is the significance <br />level of the tesl; SL, significance levels, which are: HS is highly significant, p is less than or equal to 0.01; S is significant. p is greater than 0.01 and <br />less than or equal to 0.05: MS is marginally significant, p is greater than 0.05 and less lhan or equal to 0.10; and NS is not significDnt, p is greater than 0.10: <br /><.Iess than] <br /> <br />Station Period Unadjusted concentration Flow~adJusted concentration <br /> Slope Percent p value SL Slope Percent p value SL <br />09095500 t97(1..93 0.50 0.10 0.669 NS -2.23 -0.44 0.001 HS <br /> t98(1..93 6.88 1.42 .Ot4 S -3.20 -.66 .051 MS <br /> t986-93 3.60 .71 .539 NS -to -2.82 <.001 HS <br />09152500 197(1..93 --{j.35 -.96 .055 MS -4.86 -.73 <.OOt HS <br /> 198(1..93 6.86 1.14 .385 NS .53 .09 .804 NS <br /> 1986-93 42.6 6.69 .045 S -4.67 -.73 .274 NS <br />09163500 197(1..93 -2.50 -.36 .300 NS -3.37 -.48 .002 HS <br /> 198(1..93 5.90 .89 .149 NS -1.14 -.17 .479 NS <br /> 1986-93 7.22 1.04 .524 NS -12.5 -1.80 <.001 HS <br /> <br />TREND ANALYSIS FOR THE COLORADO AND GUNNISON RtVERS 15 <br />