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WSP12246
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Last modified
1/26/2010 4:14:22 PM
Creation date
10/12/2006 5:28:34 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8210.310
Description
Colorado River Basin Organizations and Entities - Colorado River Water Conservation District
State
CO
Basin
Western Slope
Date
1/1/1996
Author
David L Butler
Title
Trend Analysis of Selected Water-Quality Data Associate With Salinity-Control Projects in the Grand Valley in the Lower Gunnison River Basin and at Meeker Dome Western Colorado
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Report/Study
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<br />.- ,. l" 'l <br />t'...) J;~ <br /> <br />solids loads generally occurred in years of largest <br />annual mean stream discharge (fig. 3). However, not <br />all differences in dissolved-solids loads are directly <br />dependent on streamflow. The loads do not <br />increase or decrease in a I: I linear relation with <br />changes in stream discharge. For example, compare <br />the annual loads and annual mean stream discharge <br />for station 09]63500 for 198] and 1984 (table I and <br />fig. 3). In 1984, the stream discharge was about <br />3.5 times greater than in 198\, but the dissolved-solids <br />load was about]. 7 times greater than in ] 98]. High- <br />flow years on the upper Colorado River are character- <br />ized by larger than average snowpack and spring run- <br />off, which have low dissolved-solids concentrations. <br />Consequently, the increase in dissolved-solids load will <br />not be proportional 10 the increase in stream discharge <br />for high-flow years. <br /> <br />Some of the variability in annual dissolved- <br />solids loads (table I) probably is related to errors <br />associated with the computational method. The <br />regression coefficients used in equations ] and 2 <br />were derived from relations of instantaneous loads <br />to instantaneous stream discharge and specific con- <br />ductance. It is assumed these relations also represent <br />mean daily loads. Outliers can have undue influence <br />on regression relations. The SLOAD program has <br />an input-checking routine to flag dissolved-solids, <br />specific-conductance, and stream-discharge data for <br />outliers. Highly suspect data were deleted prior to <br />computation ofregression coefficients. <br /> <br />Because specific conductance has a high correla- <br />tion to dissolved-solids concentration in most natural <br />water, the standard error of estimate using equation 2 <br />usually would be less than the standard error of esti- <br />mate associated with equation I, which is based only <br />on streamflow. The standard error of eSlimate associ- <br />ated with each regression relation for each station <br />can be expressed as a percentage for regressions done <br />with logarithm data. For station 09095500, the stan- <br />dard errors of estimate for the 3-year moving regres- <br />sions generally were between 4 and 10 percent, with <br />errors for equation 2 slightly less than for equation I. <br />For station 09] 52500, the standard errors of esti- <br />mate for regressions based on equation I were <br />much higher (17-30 percent) than the errors for the <br />regressions based on equation 2, which were between <br />about 3 and 7 percent. For station 09163500, the stan- <br />dard errors of estimate ranged from 3 to 9 percent for <br /> <br />regressions based on equation 2 compared to errors of <br />1 I to 22 percent for regressions based on equation I. <br />Because the completeness of the daily specific- <br />conductance record varied from year to year for each <br />station, the number of days in which the dissolved- <br />solids load was calculated using equation 2 also varied <br />among stations and years. There might be less uncer- <br />tainty in annual dissolved-solids loads for years with <br />more complete daily specific-conductance records than <br />in annual loads for years with less complete specific- <br />conductance records. <br /> <br />The annual Grand Valley dissolved-solids load <br />also is included in table I, and that load is the differ- <br />ence between the annual dissolved-solids load at <br />station 09\63500 and the annual loads for the other <br />three stations. The BOR (1983) reported the annual <br />mean Grand Valley dissolved-solids load (called the <br />Grand Valley salt pickup in that report) as 580,000 tons <br />for 1952-80, compared to 5 I 8,000 tons for 1970-93 as <br />listed in table I. According to the BOR (1986), at least <br />95 percent of the dissolved-solids load was from shal- <br />low ground-water sources in the Grand Valley, and a <br />large percentage of the ground water was recharged by <br />irrigation. The annual Grand Valley dissolved-solids <br />load ranged from 182,000 to 914,000 tons (table I). It <br />seems unlikely that the dissolved-solids loads from the <br />Grand Valley would vary by such a large amount from <br />year to year because the irrigated acreage and amount <br />of water diverted for irrigation did not change substan- <br />tially on a year-to-year basis. There has been some <br />decrease in irrigated acreage in the Grand Valley from <br />the development of agricultural land for commercial <br />and residential purposes. <br /> <br />The magnitude of the Grand Valley dissolved- <br />solids load is affected by errors in the dissolved- <br />solids-load calculations for the four gaging stations. <br />These errors probably vary from year to year, depend- <br />ing on errors associated with the water-quality, stream- <br />flow, and daily specific-conductance data and on errors <br />in the regression equations. There also are year-to-year <br />variations in precipitation runoff, cropping patterns, <br />irrigation practices, and land use that could cause rela- <br />tively small changes in the dissolved-solids load from <br />irrigated areas in the Grand Valley. Another factor that <br />could have an effect on the dissolved-solids load to the <br />Colorado River was the salinity-control projects. <br /> <br />DISSOLVED-SOLIDS lOADS IN THE COLORADO AND GUNNISON RIVERS 9 <br />
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