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<br />n;?tlt'~ <br />, uU..u ,,0 <br /> <br /> <br />N - DESCRIPTI N <br /> <br />In recent years, Colorado has repeatedly faced <br />The droughts of the 1930's and 1,50'5 impacted <br />several years. The drought of 1976-77 was not <br />consequences were as intense and very costly. <br />has started which may generate costly impacts. <br /> <br />serious water shortages. <br />the State in many ways for <br />as long in duration but the <br />Now, in 1981 another drought <br /> <br />Drought impacts Colorado in many ways, but water intensive activities such <br />as agriculture, wildfire fighting, municipal usage, commerce, industry, <br />tourism and wildl ife preservation are highly susceptible to drought impact. <br />The economy of the State or geographic sectors of the State have been and <br />can be seriously depressed. <br /> <br />Water shortages leading to drought develop because of significant change <br />in expected conditions of supply and demand. Since Colorado's population <br />and water usage in key activities are continuing to grow, demand for water <br />is rising at a steady rate. Available suppl ies have also increased over <br />the years through a variety of structural (dams) and non-struct~ral (cloud <br />seeding, conservation) means, but the State's ability to create new levels <br />of supply is marginal. In recent years, demands have been increasing faster <br />than suppl ies, so that the tolerance to deal with water shortages is diminish- <br />ing. As climate and conservation practice fluctuate, the balance between <br />supply and demand is 1 ikely to be disrupted more and more frequently. In <br />the future, droughts are likely to be more frequent and costly, <br /> <br />BACKGROUND OF DROUGHT RESPONSE PLANNING IN COLORADO. The drought of the <br />1930's was exacerbated by poor farming techniques, low market prices and <br />a depressed economy. Impacts on the State and across much of the Great <br />Plains were severe; population migration away from farming was an important <br />consequence. A variety of adjustments ensued: improved agricultural manage- <br />ment, the establishment of insurance programs, 1 iberal ization of credit, and <br />diversification of the regional economy. These adjustments moderated the <br />drought in the early 1950.s; impacts were much less severe although clima- <br />tological conditions were not that different from those of the dust bowl era. <br /> <br />Conclusions From Past Drought Efforts. In the 1976-77 drought, Colorado <br />State government assumed a lead role in activating Federal and local <br />governments as wel I as statewide publ ic conservation practices. In the <br />process of making these adjustments it was apparent that timely and <br />accurate provisions of data on impact development was crucial to effective <br />response. The diversity, complexity, and abiguity of drought impacts <br />blurred identification of the alternative actions available to decision <br />makers. Both physical and social impact data were needed; that is, know- <br />ledge about the location, kind and degree of water shortage can lead to <br />better identification of the kinds of impacts on society that can follow. <br />In turn, these societal impacts provide the framework for the governmental <br />and public adjustments that may be required. Furthermore, a systematic <br />development of problem areas and potential solutions was obviously essential <br />to effective and frugal government response, so that "under" and "over" <br />reactions could be minimized. Other Important conclusions stressed the <br />need i\nd the importance of: (1) the careful integration of response, <br />i.e., private, pub1 Ic and governmental, and (2) the maintenance of <br />established channels of responsibility as drought intensifies. Finally, <br /> <br />A-I <br />