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<br /> <br />{}1)2,538 <br /> <br />will be steeper. These hlllslopes probably will have greater runoff and ero- <br />sion rates than the original undisturbed hillslopes. As reclamation proceeds <br />and vegetation becomes reestablished, the erosion rate should gradually <br />decrease to amounts comparable to adjacent undisturbed hillslopes. <br /> <br />An estimate of the change in sediment yield due to surface mining may be <br />computed by the PSIAC method. As described previously, this method rates the <br />character of a watershed in nine categories (table 3). An estimated sediment <br />yield is determined by comparing the numerical score of the watershed being <br />ev.aluated with the numerical score of watersheds with measured sediment <br />yields. The PSIAC method Is appropriate for estimating the increased <br />sediment yield due the surface mining, because some of the categories listed <br />in table 3, such as soil and vegetation cover, will change. Other <br />categories, such as surface geology and cl imate, will not change. <br /> <br />Approximately 6.0 million tons (5.4 million t) of coal were mined in the <br />Yampa River basin during 1976. The amount of coal mined has increased <br />significantly since 1962, and there is some uncertainty as to how rapidly <br />coal mining and utilization will expand In the basin in the near future. <br />Three alternative levels of coal production through 1990 have been assumed <br />(Udis and others, 1977; Steele and others, 1978). The three estimates assume <br />that, In 1990, 80 percent of the coal production will come from surface mines <br />and 20 percent from underground mines. It is projected that surface-mined <br />coal will increase to 8.0 million tons (7.3 million t) per year as a slow- <br />growth estimate, 16 million tons (14.5 million t) per year as a moderate- <br />growth estimate, and 24 million tons (21.8 million t) per year as a rapid- <br />growth estimate. By using a coal-yield ratio of 20,000 tons per acre <br />(44,840 t/ha) of land mined, these projected levels of coal production can <br />be expressed in terms of land area disturbed per year. It Is. further assumed <br />that the disturbed land will be partly reclaimed within 5 years and complete- <br />ly reclaimed in 10 years. On the basis of these projections and assumptions, <br />the area of land affected each year by mining as well as partly reclaimed can <br />be calculated for each of the three levels of production for 1990. For <br />purposes of this analysis, it will be assumed that all Increased surface min- <br />ing will occur In the Yampa River subbasin (U.S. Department of the Interior, <br />1976) . <br /> <br />Estimates of sediment yield <br />land were computed using the PSIAC <br />computed for the unmlned area, <br />with the measured sediment yield. <br />that the calculated sediment yield <br /> <br />from recently mined and partly reclaimed <br />method. First, a numerical rating was <br />and the calculated sediment yield .compared <br />The numerical rating then was revised so <br />agreed with the measured sediment yield. <br /> <br />Not all of the factors rated by the PSIAC method will change due to <br />surface mining. Bedrock geology and climate, of course, will remain <br />unchanged by surface mining. Other factors, such as runoff and topography, <br />will most likely change slightly; whereas, soil type, ground cover, and land <br />use will be radically changed. The numerical rating of these factors must be <br />adjusted accordingly. The PSIAC method indicates annual sediment yields of <br />4,000 tons/mi2 (1,400 t/km2) from unreclaimed surface-mined land and 2,000 <br />tons/ml2 (700 t/km2) for partly reclaimed land. <br /> <br />27 <br /> <br />,!..C. <br />