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<br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />'. <br /> <br />CONTENTS <br /> <br />N <br />I-> <br />C.Jl <br />CO <br /> <br />ChaPt,r <br /> <br /> PaRe <br /> 1 <br /> 1 <br /> 2 <br /> 4 <br /> 4 <br /> 6 <br /> 6 <br /> 8 <br />. 8 <br /> 9 <br /> II <br /> 12 <br /> 13 <br /> 15 <br /> 15 <br /> 15 <br /> 17 <br /> 18 <br /> 18 <br /> 19 <br /> 23 <br /> 24 <br /> 25 <br /> 25 <br /> 25 <br /> 25 <br /> 28 <br /> <br />1. : Introduction <br /> <br />il.l Background. <br />11.2 Philosophy of Approach. <br />il,3 Scope and Purpose. . , <br /> <br />II. lData Analysis and Synthesis Techniques <br /> <br />'2.1 Time. Series Structure , <br /> <br />"' <br />'" <br /> <br />2.1.1 <br />2.1.2 <br />2.1.3 <br />2.1.4 <br />2.1.5 <br /> <br />Periodic Elements. <br />Trends . . . . . . <br />Serial Correlation <br />Correlation. <br />Distribution of Random Component <br /> <br />2.2 Streamflow Simulation . . . . . . , . <br />, <br />2.3 Incorporati~n of Unmeasured Accretions or <br />Deplet ions.. .. . , . . . , . . <br /> <br />III. Analysis of Historic and "Present Modified" <br />. Flow Data, . . . . <br /> <br />tIt"",-, <br /> <br />3.1 Data Available. <br />3.2 Scope of the Analysis <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />3.2.1 <br />3.2.2 <br />3.2.3 <br /> <br />Adjustment of Means. <br />Adjustment oJ Variance. <br />Qualifications of Stochastic Data Base <br /> <br />3,3 Adjustments to Upper Basin Flows. , . , . <br />3.4 Adjustments to Lower Basin Flows. , . . . <br />3.5 Coefficients Resulting from Data Analysis <br /> <br />IV. ~ata Generation. <br /> <br />4.1 <br />4.2 <br />4.3 <br />4.4 <br /> <br />Procedure' . <br />Multiple Regression Results <br />Generated Flows . , <br />Comparison of Synthetic Flows and Historic or <br />Present Modified Data <br /> <br />.' <br /> <br />. . . . . . <br /> <br />i <br /> <br />. d",' <br />