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WSP11333
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Last modified
1/26/2010 3:17:00 PM
Creation date
10/12/2006 4:54:38 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8273.100
Description
Colorado River Basin Salinity Control - Federal Agency Reports - BOR
Basin
Colorado Mainstem
Water Division
5
Date
5/1/1975
Title
Application of Stochastic Hydrology to Simulate Streamflow and Salinity in the Colorado River
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Report/Study
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<br /> <br />~ <br />~ <br />.J <br />~1 <br /> <br />addition to the normal, the log-normal and gamma distribution func- <br />tions are used to match the sample distribution. Another is a func- <br />tion which results from relating values from the normal distribution <br />to the observed data values by a polynominal-type equation. Each <br />of these functions is applied to the residual series and measured <br />to see how well it fits. This permits selection of the best distri- <br />bution function to represent the characteristics of the sample <br />residuals. Experience has shown the polynomial relationship adequately <br />defines the data we have studied. The shape of the distribution <br />function in conjunction with the other properties of the time series <br />is assumed to represent all the variation and patterns that comprise <br />the structure of the original data set. <br /> <br />2.2 Streamflow Simulation <br /> <br />The analysis of hydrologic data by inspecting the various components <br />has two uses. One is to inspect raw data to detect inconsistencies, <br />changes over time such as a trend, missing data, alteration of the <br />flow due to manmade structures, or other properties useful to the <br />hydrologist who might use historic streamflow records. The second <br />use is for synthesizing hydrologic traces. The structure of the time <br />series and the values which quantify each property can be used to <br />generate an unlimited number of traces. This is done by going through <br />the steps of the data analysis in reverse order and building up the <br />various components instead of trying to separate them. The simulation <br />of streamflow data may be correctly thought of as the inverse of the <br />analysis of streamflow data. <br /> <br />Basically, a random number generated from a computer function is taken <br />as the starting value. This number is processed through the appro- <br />priate mathematical equations to give it a value to reflect the <br />particular distribution function for the station. The correlations <br />with other stations and values from the past are then used to modify <br />it. The specific values for the mean and standard deviation for the <br />month are then incorporated with the linear dependent random number <br />to produce the actual streamflow. <br /> <br />Specific steps will now be described in slightly more detail. The <br />first step in the data generation procedure is to produce a random <br />uniformly distributed number. The uniformly distributed number is <br />then transformed into a normally distributed number. The normally <br />distributed number is transformed by means of a polynomial into the <br />desired distribution for the independent stochastic component. Spatial <br />dependences between the various time series are now included. Follow- <br />ing the inclusion of the spatial dependence, serial dependence is <br />taken into account. Summarizing using equations, if e(l) is the <br />independent stochastic component, the value for the spatially depend- <br />ent,serially independent stochastic component is given by: <br /> <br />12 <br />
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