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<br />, <br />i <br />, <br />I <br />I <br />i <br />. <br />I <br />, <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />~" <br /> <br />1&8,) <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />assumption tllat actual diversions of water during the review period were <br />equal to tile ideal diversion requirement. In our judgment, Case 1 is Il10re <br />realistic tllan Case 2, but probably still understates the inflow to John <br />Martin Reservoir since it is based on irrigated acrea~es that are larger <br />than were actually irrigated. The irrigated acreage used were obtained <br />from the Colorado Ayricul tural Stati stics whiCh i ncl ude an unknown amount <br />of lands outside the Project. <br /> <br />From a standpoin"c of injury to downstream users, Case 1 gives the most <br />reasonaole results. However, none of the tnree studies gives a true pic- <br />ture of injury because they do not compare the actual conditiun to a <br />"without proJect" condition. We investigatea making the "without project" <br />compari son and concl uded tllat tnere was not suffici ent in formation <br />avaiiaule to make loeanin~ful comparisons. <br /> <br />Tne Kansas officials have aryued the impacts of tne Project must be eva- <br />luated on an annual basis rather on an average annual basis. This has <br />merit as it applies to the 197!:i-d4 review period. Jonn Martin Reservoir <br />be~an a filling cycle on November 1, 1982, culminating in a spill of John <br />Martin Reservoir in May i~85. As shown in results for Cases 1, 2 and 3 <br />(see Table 4), the inflow to John Martin was depleted during the period, <br />preceding the fill cycle, out was enhanced after the beginning of the fill <br />cycle. The depletions before the beginnin~ of tne fill cycle resulted in a <br />loss or usable water to Kansas, whereas the enhancements occurring after <br />tile beginning of the fill cycle were not usable because they were lost in <br />the spill. The average annual net impact on the inflow to John Martin <br />Reservoir for the review period up through December 31, 1982 were -2000 <br />acre-feet, -330U acre-feet and -500u acre-feet for Cases 1, 2 and 3, <br />respectively. The average annual i/lllacts for the entire review periOd were <br />+600 acre-feet, -ouO acre-feet and -l!:iuu acre-reet. <br /> <br />Tile occurrence of depletions before the beginning of the fill cycle and <br />ennancement after were a direct result of the large reduction of irrigated <br />acreage during the early years of the review period. During the early years <br />when less land was irri ~ated tne excess water supply was stored in Tri nidad <br />Reservoir. The return flows durin~ tnis periOd were reduced due to less <br />land being irrigated. In tile years after the beginniny of the fill cycle, more <br />1 and was irrigated ana, because of an abundant supply, more water was app1 ied <br />resulting 1n increast:o return flows and enhanced inflow to John i'iartin Reservoir. <br />Tnere is no reason to expect that toese ci rcums tances wi 11 be repeated and, <br />tllererore, shou 10 have no bear; ng on future amendments to tne operating pri n- <br />ciples. <br /> <br />Notwitnstanding the circumstances of 1979-d4 review period, we see no <br />reason why the impacts 011 Jotm Martin Rest:rvoir snould not continue to be <br />evaluated on an average annual basis. The Triniaad ProJect, by its very <br />nature of reregulatioll, will result in reduced inflows to JOhn Martin <br />Rest:rvoir in some years and enhancea flows in other years. Table 25 of the <br />1 !161 Sway shows annual enl1ancement of as IIl.Icil as 8,UOO acre-feet and an <br />annual depletion of as much as lU,uuu acre-feet. The 1961 Study also shows tnat <br />enrlancements to inflow to John t~artin Reservoir generally occurred in dry years <br />and depletions occurred in wet years. As illustrated in Table 7 (from Table 25 <br />of the bl61 Swdy), the Project when compared to historic operation would <br />increase the inflow to John Martin Reservoir in 16 of the 21 driest years and <br />WOUld decrease the inf"low in 8 of the 12 ~Iettest years. The largest depletions <br /> <br />(Rev. 12/27/88) 26 <br /> <br />- <br />