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<br />( <br /> <br />( <br /> <br />7 <br /> <br />Second, Colorado-Ute's forecast is corrected for improperly <br /> <br />e <br />~ <br />~ <br />... <br /> <br />included industrial loads. Over 320 Mw of the forecasted load <br /> <br />growth in the 1980s is due to just nine specific industrial <br /> <br />C projects. Table 2 lists these nine projects, and 13 smaller ones, <br /> <br />and Colorado-Ute's forecasted demand due to these projects. <br /> <br />Numbers 1-5 and 7-10 in Table 2 show a 320.3 Mw increase in 1979- <br /> <br />89. This is 30 percent of Colorado-Ute's total 1979-89 demand <br />growth. 15/ <br /> <br />The Exxon oil shale project at Willow Creek is not currently <br /> <br />being developed. It is not listed as an active project in the <br /> <br />annual Oil and Gas Journal list. <br /> <br />It has not applied for inclu- <br /> <br />sion in the Colorado Joint Review Process. <br /> <br />In light of cur- <br /> <br />rently declining world oil prices, <br /> <br />deferrals of other oil shale <br /> <br />~ <br />, <br /> <br />projects, <br /> <br />and the exclusion <br /> <br />of Colorado oil shale projects from <br />Fuels Corporation (SFCl selections,16/ <br /> <br />the current round of Synthetic <br /> <br />Colorado-ute should expect this project to be delayed by at least <br />two years. A two-year delay would reduce 1994 demand for Willow <br /> <br />Creek from 180 Mw to 104 Mw. <br /> <br />The C-b tract oil shale project, also known as Cathedral <br /> <br />Bluffs, <br /> <br />has been suspended. A plann~d application for a loan <br /> <br />guarantee from the SFC has been withdrawn, and over 30 percent of <br /> <br />the on-site staff has been laid off. Even before the current sus- <br /> <br />pension, C-b was not planned to reach full output until 1991,17/ <br /> <br />although Colorado-Ute shows demand reaching its maximum 100 Mw by <br /> <br />1989. <br /> <br />At least a two-year delay in project development should <br /> <br />be expected from the schedule given by Colorado-Ute. Such a delay <br /> <br />will reduce demand from C-b in the 1982-90 period, but will not <br />