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<br />o <br />c:;t The baseline synfuel development scenario calls for the establishment of <br />-..l <br />en twenty-six 50 000 bbl/ day oil shale plants and eight 250 nm ef/ day high Btu. <br /> <br />coal gasification plants. The increase in Basin income in 2000 resulting is <br /> <br />also shown on Fig. S-2. The net increase in personal income from this scenario <br /> <br />ranges from 1. 5 to 3.7 billion dollars. The relatively lower impact results <br /> <br />from assuming a modified in-situ type of oil shale production technology. The <br /> <br />higher impact results from assuming a true in-situ type of oil shale <br /> <br />technology . <br /> <br />The accelerated synfuel development scenario calls for forty-nine 50 000 <br /> <br />bbl/day oil shale plants, ten 250 nm cf/day high Btu coal gasification plants <br /> <br />and one 250 IllIIl cf/day low Btu coal gasification plant. The net increase in <br /> <br />Basin income in 2000 resulting from this scenario ranges from 2.5 to 6.6 bil- <br /> <br />lion dollars (see Fig. S-2). As in the baseline scenario, the range of the <br /> <br />prbjections is due primarily to differences in the type of oil shale production <br /> <br />technology assumed. <br /> <br />A more detailed appreciation for the aggregate economic impact of synfuels <br /> <br />development can be obtained by examining the personal income changes for each <br /> <br />of the three economic regions of the Basin: <br /> <br />the Upper Main Stem, the Green <br /> <br />and the San Juan. For example, the Green Region is especially impacted by <br /> <br />synfuel development because of its initial, small aggregate economy and its <br /> <br />candidacy for a large proportion of the synfuel development sites. The per- <br /> <br />sonal income estimates and projections for the Green Region are presented in <br /> <br />Fig. S-3. A 226 percent increase in the Green'" region . s personal income is <br /> <br />projected over the 1975-2000 period. The corresponding increases under the <br /> <br />baseline and accelerated synfuels scenario range from 440% to 910% and 623% to <br /> <br />1455% respectively! <br />