<br />B52
<br />
<br />DROUGHT IN THE SOUTHWEST,. 1942-56
<br />
<br />water on the basis of established hydrologic relations at
<br />the time of the cOl,l1pact. Thus the Rio Grande Oompact
<br />of 1938 provides for the apportionment of water among
<br />the three major 'divisions of the Upper Rio Grande
<br />Basin: the San Luis Valley in Oolorado, the Middle
<br />Valley in New Mexico, and the lands served by Elephant
<br />Butte Reservoir in New Mexico and 'Texas (and Mexieo,
<br />as specified in the Treaty of 1906), The obligation of
<br />each division with respect to the next downstream divi-
<br />sion is specified iI). tabulations of relationships for vari-
<br />ous rates of strea1llflow which were developed from rec-
<br />ords covering a Ptriod of several years, Thus, although
<br />the compact makes no guarantee as to the quantity of
<br />water that shall .be available to downstream users, it
<br />attempts to insure that the stream depletions in an up-
<br />stream division shall not exceed those of the period when
<br />the specified relationships were observed, During the
<br />1943-56 drought both of the upstream divisions failed
<br />to deliver water in accordance with compact obligations.
<br />This failure is at~ributed, in part, to increased pumping
<br />from wells and, iI). part, to losses by evapotranspiration
<br />of an increasing proportion of the available supply dur-
<br />ing the drought years (Thomas and others, 1962).
<br />The Pecos River Oompact of 1948 attempts to re-
<br />strict upstream developments by specifying that the
<br />flow of the river shall not be depleted "by man's activ-
<br />ities" below an amount which will give downstream
<br />users (in Texas) a quantit.y of water equivalent to that
<br />available under '!the 1947 condition," Thus, although
<br />the Pecos River Compact lacks schedules of inflow-out-
<br />flow relationships, it is similar (0 the Rio Grande Oom-
<br />pact in it.s object.ive of prot.ecting downstream users by
<br />limiting upst.ream deplet.ions ; and t.he history since 1947
<br />indicat.es similar difficulty in meeting the terms of the
<br />compact, With the marked deficiencies in precipitation
<br />and resulting reduction in streamflow, it. is difficult to
<br />assess t.he stream depletions in New Mexico in relation
<br />t.o the "1947 condition," and once the change is com-
<br />put.ed there remains t.he more difficult problem of assess-
<br />ing t.he proportion of the deplet.ion that is due to man's
<br />activity, Studies prior to the compact negotiations in-
<br />dicat.ed that. the principal causes of any increase in
<br />stream deplet.ion after 1947 would be increased con-
<br />sumption of wat.er by saltcedar and t.he delayed effects
<br />of pumping from wells in t.he Roswell Basin; to these
<br />may be added t.he effects of pumping from wells drilled
<br />since 1947, nota~ly in t.he Carlsbad area (Thomas and
<br />ot.hers, 1962),
<br />The effects of' drought upon negotiat.ed apportion-
<br />ment of water and the problems raised thereby are sum-
<br />marized as follows: Apportionment of fixed quantities
<br />based on 'average streamflow falters during drought un-
<br />less the storage facilities are adequate to stabilize the
<br />
<br />natural fluctuations in runoff; and although this is rec-
<br />ognized in the Oolorado River basin and answered by
<br />plans for st.orage tot.aling more than five times the aver-
<br />age flow of the river, it is doubtful t.hat a constant yield
<br />corresponding t.o the water already apportioned can be
<br />realized throughout. the long cyclic climatic fluctuations.
<br />Apportionment on the basis of observed inflow-outflow
<br />relationships as exemplified in the Rio Grande basin
<br />provides flexibility t.o match the climatic fluct.uat.ions,
<br />and if the apportionment is equitable each user shares
<br />in the."ups and downs" of wat.er supply that. cannot. be
<br />overcome by regulat.ion, Here it would be necessary to
<br />know the hydrology in exhaustive deta,il in order to dis-
<br />criminate the natural from the artificial effects upon in-
<br />flow and outflow.
<br />The effect.s of the recent drought also serve to point
<br />up the situation in some interstate areas where no com-
<br />pacts have been negotiated for apportionment of t.he wa-
<br />ter and where in the absence of overall jurisdiction by
<br />eit.her'State t.he upst.ream user of water can enjoy the
<br />full advantage of his posit.ion, As an example, the
<br />headwaters of the Gila River have produced far less
<br />than normal st.reamflow during the drought, but pllJ't
<br />of the deficiency has probably been caused by increased
<br />pumping from wells (Thomas and ot.hers, 1963c). If
<br />the Gila basin were entirely in New Mexico, this new
<br />ground-water development. could have been st.opped by
<br />declaring the area; if the entire basin were in Arizona,
<br />howe']er, it would be difficult to prove that the wells are
<br />not. pumping "percolating" water and, therefore, diffi-
<br />cult. to deny water to a landowner, Should New Mex-
<br />ico, for the benefit. of water users in Arizona, deny wa-
<br />t.er to its own citizens when the water would not be
<br />denied to them under the laws of Arizona I It is not.e-
<br />wort.hy that the Pecos River Oompact. gives an affirma-
<br />tive answer to t.his question in a very similar situation
<br />between New Mexico and Texas: in order to deliver
<br />water't.o Texas in accordance with the Compact, it is
<br />necessary t.o restrict ground-water development and use
<br />in the Roswell basin and Carlsbad area (Thomas 'and
<br />others, 1962) ; no such restriction would be possible if
<br />the Roswell and Oarlsbad areas were in Texas,
<br />
<br />REFERENCES CITED
<br />
<br />Begemflun, Friedricb, and Libby, W. F., 1957, Continental water
<br />baiance, ground water inventory Rnd storage times, surface
<br />oc~an mixing rates, worldwide water circulation patterns
<br />from cosmic-ray and bomb tritium: Geochim. et Cosmochim.
<br />Acta, v.12. p, 277-296,
<br />Bonnen, C. A" and Ward, J. M., 1956, Some economic effects of
<br />drouth on ranch resources: Texas Agr. Expt. Sta. Bull.
<br />801, 11 p.
<br />Buswell, A. M., and Rodebush, W. H., 1956, Water: Set. Ameri-
<br />can, v.l94, no. 4, p. 77-89.
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