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<br />9 <br /> <br /> <br />be sold at rates s~gnificantly higher than contemplated 15 years ago. <br />This is supported by the fact that current rates are substantially <br /> <br />below the cost of wholesale thermal power produced by many Pick-Sloan <br /> <br />customers, Therefore, the Department should know realistically what <br /> <br />the project repayment requirements are in order to know how much it <br />must charge for power. <br /> <br />We are recommending reanalysis of Pick-Sloan, and related power revenue <br /> <br />requirements utilizing (1) realistic concepts of current development, <br /> <br />or alternatives to ultimate development (a nonending concept) repre- <br /> <br /> <br />senting reasonable time frames and assumptions, and (2) cost alloca- <br /> <br /> <br />tions related to current use of facil~ties. This analysis should <br /> <br /> <br />reflect an updating of costs to current indices, and current hydrology <br /> <br />to replace the 20-year old data now used. Furthermore, we believe <br /> <br />that appropriate action should be taken to adjust power revenue requ~re- <br /> <br />ments to that analysis. <br /> <br />The changes we see as necessary in the PRS actually do not go far <br /> <br /> <br />enough to establish the PRS as the best method for determining the <br /> <br /> <br />amount of required revenue from power operat~ons or for demonstrat~ng <br /> <br /> <br />in a convincing manner to customers and other interested part~es the <br /> <br /> <br />results of proposed rate increases. It lacks the built-in d~sc~pline <br /> <br />and timeliness necessary for these purposes. We are suggesting shorter <br /> <br /> <br />range forecasting, generally for about a 5-year period using projected <br /> <br /> <br />income and expenses (including depreciat~on of power facilities and <br /> <br /> <br />amortization of irrigation assistance), and other data necessary for <br /> <br />reasonable forecasting of financial requirements and results. <br />