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<br />r\""'1'?' <br />l .,).::...... . .1. <br /> <br />TABLE OF CONTENTS <br /> <br />Page <br /> <br />Federal Responsibil ity i <br />No tic e .., . . . . i i <br />Letter of Transmittal iii <br />Acknowledgements v <br /> <br />T ABLE OF COl'lTENTS vi i i <br />LIST OF FIGURES x <br /> <br />PREFACE xiii <br /> <br />SUMMARY '" 1 <br />Introduction 1 <br />Geographic Area 1 <br />Statement of Problem 3 <br />Study and Report Organ i zat i on .,. . 4 <br />Alternative Strategies and Inter-strategy Comparisons 8 <br />The Framework for Impact Assessment . . . . . . . 8 <br />Comparison of Economic Indicators Among Strategies 14 <br />Regional Comparisons - North and South . . . . 18 <br />Compa ri sons of Other Regi onal Impacts Among Strategi es 20 <br />Crop Production . . . . . . . . . 20 <br />Soil and Water Resource Depletions 22 <br />Envi ronmental Qual ity . . . 22 <br />Economic and Demographic Aspects 25 <br />Economic Effects . . . . . . 26 <br />Legal/Institutional Aspects 27 <br />Sensitivity of Results to Variables 30 <br />Water Use . . . . . . . . . . 31 <br />Crop Yields. . . . . . . . . . 31 <br />Energy pri ces . . . . . . . . . 31 <br />Farm Commodity Export Demand and Crop Prices 32 <br />Drought . . . . . . . 33 <br />Increased Imports . . 34 <br />Transition to Dryland Farming 34 <br />Nonagricultural Development 35 <br />Energy Future . . . . . . . . 38 <br />Crude Dil and Marketed Natural Gas Production 38 <br />Electric Generating Capacity and Electric Energy <br />Production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 <br />Water Consumption Associated with Energy <br />Production and Processing 39 <br />Cost Comparisons 39 <br />Policy Issues . . . . . . . . . 41 <br /> <br />viii <br />