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<br />W <br />A <br />"" <br />,,I;:,, <br /> <br />FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS <br /> <br />The findings and recommendations that are briefly summarized <br />here a~e the result of a joint evaluation process conducted <br />by the Department of the Interior and the Department of <br />Agricul~ure. The findings are presented as a program manage- <br />ment tobl to accomplish salinity control objectives at <br />minimum cost. This approach to long-term, program-wide analy- <br />sis is ~elpful to Federal program managers when weighing <br />the man~ budget choices each year. <br /> <br />The 198,5 Evaluation Report was prepared using data adjusted <br />to more accurately compare the program information of the <br />two departments. All costs (October 1984) and interest <br />rates (18 3/4 percent) have been adjusted to the same base. <br /> <br />The base case ,condition for the CRSS model evaluation <br />assume~ no funds expended on salinity control beyond those <br />alread~ spent on Grand Valley, Meeker Dome, Uinta Basin, and <br />Las Veifias Wash. These projects, or portions thereof, have <br />alreadt, removed approximately 115,600 tons of salt annually <br />from th~ river system. As measured against the base case, <br />projec~ions of future salinity used an historical hydrology <br />(1906-~983) data base in 15 sequences and the Bureau of <br />Reclam~tion depletion projections (similar to the Forum's <br />high depletion level). <br /> <br />The TD~ at Imperial Dam is projected to reach about 1005 <br />mg/L by the year 2010. Using the salinity projections at <br />Imperial Dam, salt load reductions required to reduce pro- <br />jected ~DS levels to the numeric criteria level of 879 mg/L <br />were eg\timated and are referred to as the "target." <br />Because of hydrologic fluctuations in the Colorado River <br />Basin, ,the target salt load reduction would be met about <br />50 perdent of the time in the future. <br /> <br />, <br />The budget constraints computer model developed by <br />Reclam~tion and Colorado State University was used to <br />evalua~e different project investment levels. This model <br />determi~es the optimal combination of projects and construc- <br />tion ti~ing to meet salt load reduction goals at minimum <br />investment levels. The annual and cumulative construction <br />costs ~ere constrained by $10 million increments for a total <br />of $50 million annually and a total cumulative investment <br />level-~$301 million, $570 million, etc. <br /> <br />Project cost effectiveness ($/ton) was not the determining <br />factor in the analysis by the model and, while it is impor- <br />tant in' selecting the projects to implement (as directed in <br />Public Law 98-569), it is not the only consideration in the <br /> <br /> <br />'-:1 <br /> <br />" <br />;< ~ <br /> <br />, <br />-,{ <br /> <br />-.,f' <br /> <br />_.,1- <br />;~ <br />) <br />1 <br />,q <br />;; <br /> <br />; <br />, <br />, <br />-~ <br />---~ <br />:i <br />.~ <br />, <br />" <br />" <br />-Y. <br />-~ <br /> <br />-~ <br />~' <br />'1 <br />~ <br />-~ <br />.R <br />j <br />; <br /> <br />,'% <br />;, <br />1 <br /> <br />-1 <br />, <br />J <br />, <br /> <br />1 <br />1 <br />1 <br />"J <br />-~ <br />, <br />1 <br /> <br />