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<br />002248 <br /> <br />CONTENTS <br /> <br />Page <br /> <br />Development and Application of a Physically Based Distributed Parameter Rainfall <br />Runoff Model in the Gunnison River Basin <br /> <br />Chapter I-Introduction ............................................ I <br />Overview of the Gunnison Climate Study. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I <br />Overview of the Study Area .' . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 <br /> <br />Chapter II-Development of a Physically Based Distributed Parameter <br />Rainfall Runoff Model ....... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 <br />Overview of PRMS ........................................... 5 <br />Overview of MMS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 <br />Development of the Model Hydrologic Response Units .................. 9 <br />Model Parameters ........................................... 13 <br />Model Input - Data Management . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 <br />Model Calibration ........................................... 20 <br />Enhancement of PRMS Within the MMS Framework .................. 21 <br />Discussion .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 <br />Distributed Parameter Modeling Using GIS .......................... 29 <br />Spatial Resolution ........................................... 3 I <br /> <br />Chapter III--Climate Change Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. ....... 35 <br />Introduction ................................................ 35 <br />Climate Scenarios ......... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 <br />Sensitivity Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 <br /> <br />Discussion ................................................. 40 <br /> <br />Chapter IV-Real Time Rainfall Runoff Modeling ............................ 45 <br /> <br />Introduction ................................................ 45 <br />Real Time Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 <br />Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .'. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 <br /> <br />Discussion ................................................. 49 <br />Case Study - Water Year 1993 in the Gunnison River Basin. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54 <br /> <br />Chapter V-Conclusions and Recommendations .............................. 57 <br /> <br />Bibliography <br /> <br />61 <br /> <br />Attachment A-Overview of the Upper Colorado Hydrologic Database . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A-I <br /> <br />Attachment B--Overview of the Upper Colorado Hydrologic Infom13lion System ...... B-1 <br /> <br />Attachment C-Gunnison Model Data <br /> <br />C-I <br /> <br />VII <br />