Laserfiche WebLink
<br />; ,: njl'>';J 36 <br />l. J!..,. l- <br /> <br />This was later modified to include only the southeastern <br />11mb of the original Bre~. in which ecology study <br />areas I, 2, 3, Ilnd 4 are located. This 311tomatically <br />excluded that portion of the area containing human <br />habitations, principally the towns of Silverton. Tellu- <br />ride,and Ouray. <br /> <br />Simultaneously with the progress in cloud-seeding <br />tec.hnology there occurred the rapid growth of the <br />North American environmental ethic, and "ecology" be- <br />came a household word. Cooper and Jolly (1969) prepared <br />for the Bureau DC Reclamation a general report on the <br />possibl~ ecological effects of weather modification. <br />Lh~y recornmend~d tnat all weather modification experi- <br />ments and operational projects be accompanied by <br />studies of their possible ecological impacts. Con- <br />sequently the Bureau aSNed Colorado State University, <br />in concert with the Institute of Arctic and Alpine <br />Research (INSTAAR) of the University of Colorado, and <br />Fort Lewis College, to present 3 problem analysis and <br />study plan for evaluation of th~ potential ecological <br />impact of snowpack augmentation in the San Juan Moun- <br />tains (Teller et al. 1970). A Steering Committee of <br />six, composed of representatives from the three <br />institutions, was established to oversee the develop- <br />ment of the project design, although contributions were <br />obtained from a large number of individual scientists. <br />The Steering Committee realized very early that major <br />scientific and organizational problems would need to <br />be overcome if a project of this magnitude and com- <br />plexity were to be successful. The large number and <br />diversity of the San Juan ~untain ecosystems, the <br />great variability of precipitation both from place to <br />place and year to year, the ecological plasticity of <br />many species, and the abil~ty of organisms to adjust <br />to environmental changes in mountain areas, were all <br />important considerations. <br /> <br />Logistical considerations, both in terms of the exis- <br />t~nce of the two major groopings of potential partic- <br />ipants in separate. instituj:ions ," and fieldwork organ- <br />ization in a compl~x mount~in system, led to the prag- <br />matic decision to break do~ the major study objective <br />along broad ecosystem-type divisions rather than by <br />ecosystem components :;uch cLS producers, consumers, <br />decomposers, and abiotic f~ctors. Thus four groups of <br />research proposals were originally solicited with <br />agreement that Colorado SteLte Univeraity would be <br />primarily, although nct exclusively, responsible for <br />production of forcst and aquatic €cosystems proposals <br />while INSTAAR would hold primary responsibility for <br />producing tundra ecosystem and paleoccological pro- <br />posals. <br /> <br />To fSGilitate the usefulness of these research proposals <br />a series of guideline!> were laid do\o7I1 by the Steering <br />Commit.tee. First, it was considered beyond the man- <br />power and estimated financial limits to undertake any <br />full-scale ecosy:3tem research endeavor; thus emphasis <br />was to be pl3ced upon identification of a series of <br />specific research projects that collectively would <br />help elucidate the. effects of artificially increased <br />snowpack on the ecologicallY related resour~es of the <br />San Juan Mountains in terms of their economic and/or <br />public interest. Further, it was stipulated that, <br />since cloud seeding wDuld begin simultaneously with <br />;lny proposed ecological research, a classical before- <br />1md-after approach would not be possible. Next, a <br />treated versuS control type of methodology was reject~d <br />because no area with an environment sufficiently <br />similar to the San Juan Mountains could be identified <br />with confidence to serve as the control area. This <br />problem was the more intractable because of the <br />scarclty of ecological information on the San Juan <br />Mountains themselves. All of these guidelines led to <br /> <br />the conclusion that"the most lik~ly chance of succe~S <br />would be derived from developing a series of "process <br />studies" whereby the relations between snow and in- <br />dividual ecosystem components be evaluated. Thus the <br />focus of attention would be placed on assessment of <br />how the characteristics of each selected ecosystem <br />component changed with varying snowpack regardless of <br />whether or not. or to what degree, cloud seeding <br />proved successful. This car~ied the implication that <br />an initial cloud-seeding pilot project of four-years' <br />duration would not likely show detectable impacts so <br />that any actual attempt to measure ecological responses <br />directly would not be appropriate. The need for an <br />ecological overview was recognized as a means of <br />yielding a baseline description of the area under <br />study. <br /> <br />The types of 5~udy identified above could probably be <br />undertaken an~here in the Rocky Mountains where <br />mountain slope~ extended above tree-line, and still <br />yield answers relating to the ecological impacts of <br />snowpack augmentation. Nevertheless, sinCE! the effect <br />of snow, as one e~csY8tem co~ponent, varies ~ith all <br />other componentS, such as temperature, soil, geological <br />structure. topography, and associated plants and ani- <br />mals, there wa~ a unanimous resolve that actual field <br />investigations in the San Juan Mountains thems~lves <br />would forlD the core of any rese.arch program. The <br />principles discovered there will undoubtedly b~ <br />applicable to other areas, to the extent that each <br />investigator i8 able to a~count for environmental <br />variables and in relation to the degree of similarity <br />between another a~ea and the San Juan Mountains. <br />Furthermore. proven metnodologies could be modified <br />and applied elsewhere and the record of our false <br />starts used to improve future research designs. <br /> <br />Changes due to bng-continued increases in snowfall <br />were assumed to be primarily long-term changes in the <br />species composition of the different ecosystems. <br />Sincl2 sucll changes would likely appear only after many <br />year:; of cloud seeding, a measure of current community <br />structure (i.e. phytosociology) would effectively <br />show pre-seeding conditions. For further discussions <br />of this rationale see Chapter II. <br /> <br />To return to the organizational and project design <br />process, it should be noted that likely effects of <br />increased snowfall we.re diScussed as part of Phase I, <br />in light of the Cooper and Jolly (1969) assessment <br />and our collective ecological experience, and potential <br />project proposals were solicited throughrnost of <br />Colorado. The technical Quality of the proposals were <br />initially reviewed by each of the twu institutional <br />groupings, then by the tri-institutional Steering <br />Committee, and finally by the latter-group in confer- <br />ence with three consultants. The constraint of a <br />broadly estimated annual budget was imposed, and a <br />group of 29 project proposals were selected that met <br />the follo~u~ cCiteria~ (1) Im~oTtant to overall <br />objectives, as shown by our analysis system (2) A <br />good research plan and scientist qualified and avail- <br />able to conduct the proposed study; and ()) Fiscally <br />compatible. <br /> <br />The resultant list of project proposals was submitted <br />to the Bureau of Reclamation who, along with its own <br />ecological consultants. completed a "final review. <br />The set of proposals that survived this screening <br />process is repr~sented in the reports of Ch;lpter IV. <br />The projects and administrative organization are <br />indicated in Figure 2. It should be pointed out, <br />however. that virtualty half of th~ proposals submitted <br />to the Bureau of Rec.lat:lation did !'2!:. sunl"ivtO'. the <br />screening proceSs, and most significantly, the aquatic <br /> <br />3 <br />