<br />; ,: njl'>';J 36
<br />l. J!..,. l-
<br />
<br />This was later modified to include only the southeastern
<br />11mb of the original Bre~. in which ecology study
<br />areas I, 2, 3, Ilnd 4 are located. This 311tomatically
<br />excluded that portion of the area containing human
<br />habitations, principally the towns of Silverton. Tellu-
<br />ride,and Ouray.
<br />
<br />Simultaneously with the progress in cloud-seeding
<br />tec.hnology there occurred the rapid growth of the
<br />North American environmental ethic, and "ecology" be-
<br />came a household word. Cooper and Jolly (1969) prepared
<br />for the Bureau DC Reclamation a general report on the
<br />possibl~ ecological effects of weather modification.
<br />Lh~y recornmend~d tnat all weather modification experi-
<br />ments and operational projects be accompanied by
<br />studies of their possible ecological impacts. Con-
<br />sequently the Bureau aSNed Colorado State University,
<br />in concert with the Institute of Arctic and Alpine
<br />Research (INSTAAR) of the University of Colorado, and
<br />Fort Lewis College, to present 3 problem analysis and
<br />study plan for evaluation of th~ potential ecological
<br />impact of snowpack augmentation in the San Juan Moun-
<br />tains (Teller et al. 1970). A Steering Committee of
<br />six, composed of representatives from the three
<br />institutions, was established to oversee the develop-
<br />ment of the project design, although contributions were
<br />obtained from a large number of individual scientists.
<br />The Steering Committee realized very early that major
<br />scientific and organizational problems would need to
<br />be overcome if a project of this magnitude and com-
<br />plexity were to be successful. The large number and
<br />diversity of the San Juan ~untain ecosystems, the
<br />great variability of precipitation both from place to
<br />place and year to year, the ecological plasticity of
<br />many species, and the abil~ty of organisms to adjust
<br />to environmental changes in mountain areas, were all
<br />important considerations.
<br />
<br />Logistical considerations, both in terms of the exis-
<br />t~nce of the two major groopings of potential partic-
<br />ipants in separate. instituj:ions ," and fieldwork organ-
<br />ization in a compl~x mount~in system, led to the prag-
<br />matic decision to break do~ the major study objective
<br />along broad ecosystem-type divisions rather than by
<br />ecosystem components :;uch cLS producers, consumers,
<br />decomposers, and abiotic f~ctors. Thus four groups of
<br />research proposals were originally solicited with
<br />agreement that Colorado SteLte Univeraity would be
<br />primarily, although nct exclusively, responsible for
<br />production of forcst and aquatic €cosystems proposals
<br />while INSTAAR would hold primary responsibility for
<br />producing tundra ecosystem and paleoccological pro-
<br />posals.
<br />
<br />To fSGilitate the usefulness of these research proposals
<br />a series of guideline!> were laid do\o7I1 by the Steering
<br />Commit.tee. First, it was considered beyond the man-
<br />power and estimated financial limits to undertake any
<br />full-scale ecosy:3tem research endeavor; thus emphasis
<br />was to be pl3ced upon identification of a series of
<br />specific research projects that collectively would
<br />help elucidate the. effects of artificially increased
<br />snowpack on the ecologicallY related resour~es of the
<br />San Juan Mountains in terms of their economic and/or
<br />public interest. Further, it was stipulated that,
<br />since cloud seeding wDuld begin simultaneously with
<br />;lny proposed ecological research, a classical before-
<br />1md-after approach would not be possible. Next, a
<br />treated versuS control type of methodology was reject~d
<br />because no area with an environment sufficiently
<br />similar to the San Juan Mountains could be identified
<br />with confidence to serve as the control area. This
<br />problem was the more intractable because of the
<br />scarclty of ecological information on the San Juan
<br />Mountains themselves. All of these guidelines led to
<br />
<br />the conclusion that"the most lik~ly chance of succe~S
<br />would be derived from developing a series of "process
<br />studies" whereby the relations between snow and in-
<br />dividual ecosystem components be evaluated. Thus the
<br />focus of attention would be placed on assessment of
<br />how the characteristics of each selected ecosystem
<br />component changed with varying snowpack regardless of
<br />whether or not. or to what degree, cloud seeding
<br />proved successful. This car~ied the implication that
<br />an initial cloud-seeding pilot project of four-years'
<br />duration would not likely show detectable impacts so
<br />that any actual attempt to measure ecological responses
<br />directly would not be appropriate. The need for an
<br />ecological overview was recognized as a means of
<br />yielding a baseline description of the area under
<br />study.
<br />
<br />The types of 5~udy identified above could probably be
<br />undertaken an~here in the Rocky Mountains where
<br />mountain slope~ extended above tree-line, and still
<br />yield answers relating to the ecological impacts of
<br />snowpack augmentation. Nevertheless, sinCE! the effect
<br />of snow, as one e~csY8tem co~ponent, varies ~ith all
<br />other componentS, such as temperature, soil, geological
<br />structure. topography, and associated plants and ani-
<br />mals, there wa~ a unanimous resolve that actual field
<br />investigations in the San Juan Mountains thems~lves
<br />would forlD the core of any rese.arch program. The
<br />principles discovered there will undoubtedly b~
<br />applicable to other areas, to the extent that each
<br />investigator i8 able to a~count for environmental
<br />variables and in relation to the degree of similarity
<br />between another a~ea and the San Juan Mountains.
<br />Furthermore. proven metnodologies could be modified
<br />and applied elsewhere and the record of our false
<br />starts used to improve future research designs.
<br />
<br />Changes due to bng-continued increases in snowfall
<br />were assumed to be primarily long-term changes in the
<br />species composition of the different ecosystems.
<br />Sincl2 sucll changes would likely appear only after many
<br />year:; of cloud seeding, a measure of current community
<br />structure (i.e. phytosociology) would effectively
<br />show pre-seeding conditions. For further discussions
<br />of this rationale see Chapter II.
<br />
<br />To return to the organizational and project design
<br />process, it should be noted that likely effects of
<br />increased snowfall we.re diScussed as part of Phase I,
<br />in light of the Cooper and Jolly (1969) assessment
<br />and our collective ecological experience, and potential
<br />project proposals were solicited throughrnost of
<br />Colorado. The technical Quality of the proposals were
<br />initially reviewed by each of the twu institutional
<br />groupings, then by the tri-institutional Steering
<br />Committee, and finally by the latter-group in confer-
<br />ence with three consultants. The constraint of a
<br />broadly estimated annual budget was imposed, and a
<br />group of 29 project proposals were selected that met
<br />the follo~u~ cCiteria~ (1) Im~oTtant to overall
<br />objectives, as shown by our analysis system (2) A
<br />good research plan and scientist qualified and avail-
<br />able to conduct the proposed study; and ()) Fiscally
<br />compatible.
<br />
<br />The resultant list of project proposals was submitted
<br />to the Bureau of Reclamation who, along with its own
<br />ecological consultants. completed a "final review.
<br />The set of proposals that survived this screening
<br />process is repr~sented in the reports of Ch;lpter IV.
<br />The projects and administrative organization are
<br />indicated in Figure 2. It should be pointed out,
<br />however. that virtualty half of th~ proposals submitted
<br />to the Bureau of Rec.lat:lation did !'2!:. sunl"ivtO'. the
<br />screening proceSs, and most significantly, the aquatic
<br />
<br />3
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