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<br />'001276 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Draft Task 7 Technical Memorandum <br /> <br />Significant shortages occur in the Yampa River basin under future demand conditions <br />when the Juniper instream flow right is in place unless additional storage is available. All <br />three of the modeled new storage projects mitigate these future shortages to some degree but <br />only Scenario IV (Elkhead Reservoir and Stagecoach Reservoir enlargement) eliminates them <br />entirely. <br /> <br />Conversion of the Juniper Project water right to an instream flow would be based on the <br />contemplated draft of the project if it had been built. The instream flow water right would <br />reflect the pattern of use that the Juniper Project would have had if in place. <br /> <br />The priority of the Juniper instream flow right has an important affect on the amount of <br />shortages which occur in the basin. As currently represented in the model, the instream flow <br />right has a 1954 priority date. A more senior right would probably result in more shortages to <br />demands in the basin. <br /> <br />The Juniper Reservoir decree includes a subordination to 65,000 af of consumption by <br />in-basin junior users. Had the project been built, the reservoir would not have placed a call on <br />the upstream users until the upstream consumption under junior rights had reached a total of <br />65,000 af per year. Analysis of the current water usage of those rights junior to 1954 <br />indicated that a maximum of approximately 36,663 afof water use junior to 1954 currently <br />occurs in the Yampa Basin, approximately 28,480 af of which occurs on the Yampa and its <br />tributaries above the confluence with the Little Snake River. This 28,480 af comprises 6,617 <br />af of storage depletion and 21,863 af of direet flow depletions. As discussed in a previous <br />section of this memorandum, approximately 24,200 af of the total junior depletions were <br />explicitly represented in the model. <br /> <br />Considering demand projections utilized in this study, it is unlikely that the entire <br />65,000 af subordination would be exhausted even under the long-term (2040-level) demand <br />scenario. <br /> <br />The effect of the subordination on an instream flow would be to permit junior users to <br />divert physically available water as they needed it, if the Juniper Project were ever built or its <br />associated water rights were converted to other uses, until the Division Engineer had <br />determined the 65,000 af had been consumed. Water users would continue to realize shortages <br />that they now experience due to lack of supply on tributaries and possible mainstem calls by <br />the Maybell Canal. <br /> <br />The undesirable situation of the reduced flows in the Yampa River during the late <br />irrigation season would continue and, ultimately, grow worse. The modeling performed for <br />this study, i.e. the scenario with no new storage but with the instream flow right in place, <br />indicates that, should the instream flow water right have a 1954 priority date and the 65,000 af <br />subordination exercised, additional storage is still required to satisfy projected demands in the <br />Yampa River Basin. This follows from the fact that the subordination can only benefit water <br />users if there is a sufficient physical water supply in the basin. <br /> <br />In addition to providing water to projected demands, new storage in the basin will <br />provide opportunities to help late season flow in the Yampa River. Currently, many segment 1> <br />of the Yampa River, including those important to the endangered fish, realize less than desired <br />stream flows at certain times of the year. For the past several years, the Division Engineer has <br />utilized water "borrowed" from existing storage facilities to prevent river flows in the lower <br />sections of the river from being completely cut off by diversions. This praetice has provided <br />two benefits: 1) it has prevented the need to place a mainstem call on the Yampa River and 2) <br />it has provided a minimum amount of flow for utilization by aquatic life in the river. <br /> <br />21 <br />