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<br />COLORADO <br />WATER SUPPLY OUTLOOK REPORT <br />APRIL 1, 2002 <br /> <br />.' <br /> <br />Summary <br /> <br />March was another dry month across Colorado, marking the seventh consecutive month of <br />below average snowfall and precipitation for the state. As expected, statewide snowpack <br />percentages declined again, leaving the state with the lowest snowpack percentage in 25 years. <br />Runoff forecasts are extremely low across southern portions of the state. Elsewhere, forecasts <br />improve, but remain well below average. Reservoir storage provides little additional <br />optimism for boosting the low runoff this year. Most of the state's basins are reporting below <br />average reservoir storage. Many of Colorado's water users are faced with one of the most <br />difficult years in recent memory. Judicious use of existing supplies will be critical in <br />minimizing impacts. Of course, a return to more normal climatic conditions can always help <br />ease impacts. <br /> <br />Snowpack <br /> <br />,I <br /> <br />Colorado's statewide snowpack percentages continued their steady decline during March, The <br />current readings are now only 52% of average, statewide. These readings are only 60% of last <br />year's April I snowpack. Not since the drought year of 1977, when the state had only a 46% <br />of average snowpack, has the statewide conditions been this poor. Only making matters <br />worse is the fact that by this date, nearly 100% of the seasonal accumulation is completed in <br />an average year, leaving little, to no hope for any substantial improvements to the snowpack. <br />Currently, the lowest snowpack percentages occur across southern Colorado. The combined <br />San Juan, Animas, Dolores, and San Miguel basins are reporting the lowest readings, at only <br />34% of average. The Rio Grande Basin, at only 38% of average closely follows these basins. <br />Also, this past month, the Arkansas Basin saw its percentage decrease sharply from last month <br />and is now only 48% of average. Conditions improve towards the north, but remain well <br />below average, The state's best snowpack percentages occur across the Colorado and North <br />Platte basins, both reporting 63% of average readings, This year marks the fifth consecutive <br />year with a below average statewide April I snowpack. Last year's statewide snowpack on <br />this date was 87% of average. All basins are reporting percentages well below those of last <br />year, and range from only 36% of last year in the Rio Grande Basin, to a high of 84% of last <br />year in the Yampa and White basins, During late March, warm temperatures induced <br />snowmelt at a number of SNOTEL sites. Across southern Colorado, a few lower elevation <br />sites have already melted out, with melt even occurring at the higher elevation sites. At these <br />melt rates, many sites will be completely melted out about a month earlier than normal. <br />