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~._, Year w:j.th proJect 13,435 18,843 17,984 35,585 1979 1988 (height of project) 1990 (end of project) 2020 A~~~~S-LA PLATA PROJECT ~~~: )f Durango wi tl}out prolect 13,435 16,592 17,494 35,035 Difference - % 0-0 2,251-13.6 490- 2.8 550- 1. 6 Note: These figures do not include any population growth that may result from the use of project industrial water. ARE EXPECTED TO BE BROUGHT IN TO THE AREA DURING The number of people that will migrate into the project area is illustrated to the left. The total employment influx represents those who would be employed directly or indirectly by the project. The total population influx represents these workers plus their families. (average of 2.54 persons per family) By the peak year of construction (1988 on the current schedule), 3,944 persons will have come into the area be- cause of the project. As estimated 10 percent would reside in San Juan County, New Mexico. This represents only 0.2 percent of the projected population of San Juan County in 1988. Ninety per- cent would live in La Plata County during the peak construction year, com- posing about 9.0 percent of the projected population for the county taht year. 3. How MANY PEOPLE CONSTRUCT! ON? Year Total employ. influx Total populo influx 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 73 235 254 551 693 713 1,019 1,181 1,121 997 186 596 645 1,399 1,761 1,811 2,589 3,728 2,848 2,532 4. How MANY LOCAL PEOPLE WILL ~ HIRED? The Job Service reports for San Juan County and New Mexico, and e Job Service of Colorado, La Plata County all indicate there is a shortage of skilled workers and a surplus of common laborers in the area. Based on this information and the past experience of the Bureau of Reclamation, it has been estimated that 65 percent of skilled workers will have to come from outside the project area and 35 percent will be local. A large portion of unskilled laborers also will have to come from out- side the project area because the labor force in La Plata County and Durango where the major population impacts are expected, is not likely to be able to supply the full amount of workers that would be needed during construction. Therefore, an estimated 60 percent of unskilled workers would be non-local and 40 percent would be local. 5. WHAT ARE ~H~ EXPECTED NEW HOUSING NEEDS? According to projections, the area would nee 62 more households with the project than without, during the peak construction year. The greatest demand would be expected for multi- family rental units and mobile homes. Without adequate planning, a housing shortage would be expected in La Plata County during the project construction. Housing cost would rise, according to the dictates of the law of supply and demand. The project is not expected to have any effect on housing in San Juan County, New Mexico. 4