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WSP09066
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Last modified
1/26/2010 2:50:56 PM
Creation date
10/12/2006 3:26:30 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
5000.350
Description
Flood Protection Section - Flood Activities - 1985
State
CO
Basin
Statewide
Date
5/1/1985
Author
USDA - DOC
Title
Water Supply Outlook for Western United States - 05-01-85
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Report/Study
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<br />002192 <br /> <br />1985 Snowmelt Season <br />as of May 1 <br /> <br />WARM AND DRY APRIL WEATHER OVER MUCH OF THE WEST STARTED HEAvY SNOWMELT WHICH <br />SEVERLY DEPLETED SNOWPACKS, CAUSED HIGH STREAM FLOWS , AND LED TO DOWNWARD REVISIONS <br />IN THE SEASONAL FORECASTS. STREAMS IN SOUTHERN COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO WILL PRODUCE <br />MUCH AROVE NORMAL RUNOFF VOLUMES THIS SEASON. <br /> <br />General Outlook <br /> <br />April weather conditions contributed to further <br />decrease streamflow forecasts over a large portion of the <br />West. EXpected volumes are below to much below normal <br />for the Missouri, Great, and California Basins. Also, <br />portions of the Snake and Upper Columbia Basins will <br />receive beIo.... normal runoff d.mounts. Conditions in the <br />Colorado, Arkansas, and Rio Grande Raains were not so <br />hleak, ho....evet". Wet April conditions will keep maar of <br />these basins ahove average. especially so in the San Juan <br />and Rio Grande dt"ainages. <br /> <br />A very wann and dry Apri I weather pattern dominated <br />much of the Western U.S. Califot"nia stations only <br />reported 15 percent of nOTillal precipitation state-wide, <br />with the Missouri, the Great. and much of the Columhia <br />Basins showing similar re!!ults. On the other hand, the <br />Colorado, Ar}(ansas, and Rio Crande Basin!! received above <br />normal precipitation during April. The Rio Grande Bssin <br />experienced the wettest April in 40 years. <br /> <br />As previously mentioned, a very warm April has greatly <br />depleted the snowpack throughout the West. The very rapid <br />depletion of the snow caused high runoff in most western <br />streams and rivers during April, with many peake probably <br />occurring during the month. The only area with a much <br />ahov(:: normal snowpack is in the high elevation portions <br />of southern Colorado and northern New Mexico, where rapid <br />melt~ng is just getting underway. <br /> <br />The Rio Grande River is going bananas this year and i9 <br />now expected to produce 195 percent of average seasonal <br />runoff. This is in stark contrast with other major <br />rivers in the West, where forecasts are either staying <br />the same or decreasing. Percent yields from other major <br />rivers are as follows: Snake-98, Missouri-82, Columbia- <br />96, Colorado-145, Arkansas-98, Green-88, North Platte-68, <br />and South Platte-IOO. <br /> <br />Reservoir storage is <br />Weat. The way things <br />users are going to have <br />of stored water. <br /> <br />good to excellent throughout the <br />look in many states, the water <br />to rely heavily on this ahundance <br /> <br />Basin by Basin Summary <br /> <br />SAN JOAQUIN, SACRAMENTO <br />AND NORTH COASTAL BASINS <br /> <br />Following a cool and damp March in much of California, <br />April weather patterns reverted to the dry conditions <br />which have prevailed most of the winter. Statewide <br />precipit8ti.:m averaged ahout 15 percent of nomal. Only <br />a few sit~s in the .state reported TIIore than an inch of <br />precipitation. Mt. Sh.asta City and Red Bluff reported <br />their second dnest April on l:"ecord. Several locations <br />in the Southern Sierra and Southern Cal i fornia recDrded <br />no rain dUTing the month. <br /> <br />April had very warm temperatures throughout the state, <br />with every reporting station in California recording <br />ahove norm.,l temperatures for the month. Average <br />temperature anomalies of 3 to 5 degrees were most c~mmon <br />for the month. Record Apri I average temperatures were <br />established at Bll.1e Canyon with 53.4 degrees (10.1 <br />degrees ahove normal) and at Mt. Shasta City with 51.7 <br />degrees (6.1 degcee9 ahove normal). The Blue Canyon <br />Apri I average temperat.ur~ ....as higher than t.he nonr.al May <br />average of 51.5 degrees. <br /> <br />As a result of the warm weather, the runoff from the <br />snowpack began earlier than usual giving higher than <br />normal streamflows for the month. However, expected <br />water year streamflow volumes have continued to decrease <br />and are expected to average 63 percent of normal. <br /> <br />COLUMBIA BASIN <br /> <br />The water suppLy outlook for the Columhia River and <br />Pacific coastal basins calls for near normal runoff <br />volumes this season. The conditions of April hoosted <br />forecast volumes in the Canadian portion of the hasin and <br />lowered forecast volumes in the Snake River Basin. The <br />forecast for the Columhia River at The Dalles remained <br /> <br />essentially unchanged <br />norma 1 vo I ume. Mos t <br />forecast to produce <br />volumes this season. <br /> <br />frow last month and refl~cts a near <br />has ins in the Cascade Range are <br />normal to slightly ahove normal <br /> <br />Warm, dry days persisted across the Pacific Norrh....est <br />during April with significant cooling only between the <br />18 .snd 28. Monthly temperatures generally averaged 2 to <br />6 degrees ahove normal. Precipitation was helow normal <br />over the hulk of the hasin. l.Iet areas were limited to <br />the Northern Cascades of Waahington, the Upper Columbia, <br />and the upper portion of the Kootenia Basin. Mountain <br />index stat ions received 6 to 24 i.nches of new snoW' late <br />in the month. Precipitation for the month of April was <br />114 percent of average for the Columhia lIasln above Grand <br />Coulee, 57 percent of average for the Snake River Basin <br />ahove Ice Harhor, and 83 percent of average for the <br />Columbia Basin ahove The Dalles. <br /> <br />By May I, very warIP spring weather and small <br />precipitation amounts dramatically changed the snowpack <br />in the Columhia Basin. Only small, high elevation areas <br />in the Oregon Cascades were still reporting at above <br />normal level~. The snowpsck in the rest of the Cascade <br />range was r~port.ed to be near nor~al for May 1. Central <br />and eastern Oregon snowpacks fell to helow or much below <br />average foe May 1. From the Salmon and Clearwater Basins <br />in Idaho to the southern boundary of the Snake River <br />drainage, the snowpack also fell to below to much beloW' <br />normal. The snowpack in the Upper Snake Drainage in <br />WyolDing and the entire northern parr ion of the Columbia <br />River Basin was reported at normal to slightly below <br />normal levels for May 1. <br /> <br />The January-July forecast for the Columbia River at <br />The Dalles, Oregon, calls fa 98.6 million acre-feet or 92 <br />percent of the 1961-1980 average. At Grand Coulee, <br />Washington, the January-July Columhia river flow is <br />forecast to he 57.0 million acre-feet or !:I8 percent of <br />normal. The total contrihution of the Snake River Basin, <br />as measured above Lower Granite Project is forecast to be <br />30.8 million acre-feet or 94 percent of normal for the <br />January-September period. <br />
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